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: relative improvement of probability forecast over reference forecast in predicting category which observation fell into) Geomagnetic storm forecast verification results: Ranked Probability Skill Score (RPSS) • Plot updated daily on Met Office system to monitor rolling skill of forecasts compared

, the Midlands and southern England, leading to reports of lightning damage to the rail electricity supply in Wiltshire and damage to homes and power supply in Sussex. Some areas in Devon and Somerset saw travel disruption due to surface water flooding and fallen trees. Further scattered heavy downpours over

UKCP18 Factsheet: Temperature KCP18 Factsheet: Temperature This factsheet summarises the key information currently available on the UKCP18 projections over land for temperature metrics. Read this before using any products as it describes the data availability, the key future climate changes (if any

blocking, hills and mountains influence the development of weather systems and the global atmospheric circulation. These processes need to be represented in weather and climate prediction models. Our research explores several aspects of atmospheric flow over orography. These include investigations

and windier from the west. This change to milder conditions will be preceded by some snow over parts of northern England and Scotland later on Wednesday, mainly over higher ground.” Will there be more #snow this week? Any signs of spring warmth? Find the answer to all your week ahead weather questions

on Saturday 15 December 2018 shows Storm Dierdre centred over the UK. The chart below shows rain-rates at 1800 UTC on Saturday 15 December 2018, with the associated fronts bringing hill snow and widespread heavy rain across northern parts of the UK, this rain freezing on impact with the ground resulting

The area of high-pressure which has brought fine conditions across the UK over the last few days is forecast to persist through the bank holiday weekend and into next week.

a westerly air flow over the UK, a cooler direction than if air was being brought up from the south, and areas such as Spain or Africa. Therefore, we are not likely to reach heatwave conditions, but temperatures will still be warm reaching the low 20’s for many, particularly in the South West

the warning area quite widely, with 50-100mm possible over higher ground. For eastern and northern parts of Northern Ireland, the warning highlights some potentially impactful downpours, with 10mm falling within an hour in some spots, with 30-40mm possibly falling over a six hour period. Both of these initial

High pressure will dominate the UK over the coming days, bringing warm and dry weather for many until early next week.

With high pressure in charge, there will be little change to the weather through the rest of the week and over the weekend which will allow temperatures to increase day on day. From Friday and over the weekend temperatures will be in the mid-to-high 20s Celsius for many. However, in the far

The weather over the coming weekend is looking cold and rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain or sleet in places and slight snow accumulations over higher ground on Saturday and Sunday.  Some of the rain could be heavy at times in the south-west. As we go into next week, there is a continued risk