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for several months to come. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk

-west around dusk. A dry start in the north on the 20th was short-lived, as a band of rain, heavy or very heavy at times, across the Midlands and parts of the south, continued moving north-eastwards with sunshine and scattered blustery showers developing for a time, and thunderstorms during

during March-May 2023. La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics with a couple of notable exceptions (e.g. East Africa). More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk

of the most likely of five rainfall categories (very wet, wet, average, dry or very dry) are produced using a combination of dynamical forecast models and statistical predictions. Each of these categories has occurred in one-fifth of past years. Important Long-range forecasts are unlike weather forecasts

over the last three months. The exceptions being of Turkey, Tunisia, parts of Algeria and Morocco, which were wet or very wet in June. In the Caribbean, dry or very dry conditions were observed in June, returning to near-normal in July and August. Outlook: Over the next three months it is likely

while northern Libya was very wet in November and December before returning to near-normal in January. The Caribbean and British Overseas Territories were either dry or had near-normal rainfall over the last three months, the exception being Haiti which was very wet in December. Outlook: Over

has been hot over the last three months. Conditions were mixed for Colombia and Venezuela with some areas experiencing below normal temperatures. Across MENA many areas were warm or hot, though temperatures were mixed across North Africa. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very

May 2021 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. May began very unsettled and unseasonably cold, with frosts in many places; it became less cold after the first week but continued with frequent rain or showers for most areas. The UK experienced a number of deep low

of very wet conditions. The rest of North Africa has been mainly dry. Haiti and Guyana have also seen wet conditions through August, Haiti in particular with rainfall exacerbated by the passages of Tropical Cyclones Fred and Grace in quick succession. Outlook: Below normal rainfall is likely across

with atmosphere and oceanic conditions dating from between 21 August and 10 September 2020. Figure 1.1: Predicted probabilities for October-November-December 2020 rainfall from the statistical and dynamical forecasts. Probabilities are for 5 quintile categories referred to as: very dry, dry, average, wet and very