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: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative category

: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative

to research there are 1.56 million private car drivers who have suffered at least one accident in the last five years due to winter road conditions. Figures from the Association of British Insurers suggest the average cost of a claim for accidental damage to a vehicle was £1,362 in the first quarter

: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative

: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative

: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative

: the alternative category should occur at least once and up to half the time • BECMG: a transition period when the alternative category should occur at least once • PROB30/40: the alternative category is forecast with a probability of 30% / 40% at each METAR time • PROB30/40 TEMPO: the alternative category

the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Introduction The Met Office is the national weather service of the United Kingdom and its general functions include the organisation

................................12 Climate change We’re causing it, so let’s tackle it...14 00.13 GMT: Just past midnight and local authority duty-officer Karen Johnson is roused from sleep by an important text. It’s the Flood Forecasting Centre in London confirming extreme rainfall in just two hours

of La Niña persisting during the Northern Hemisphere winter (December-February) 2022-23, with a 54% chance for a change to ENSO-neutral in February-April 2023. La Niña will remain the most dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical