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in Kerala lies almost submerged after heavy rainfall led to extensive flooding in 2018. Picture: Shutterstock Climate attribution science plays a part in the evidence base needed in this complex area, and here the Met Office’s Dr Fraser Lott – a Climate Monitoring and Attribution Scientist – explains

FLOOD RISK MATRIX GUIDANCE ON IMPACTS Minimal disruption Minor disruption Significant disruption Severe disruption Typical impacts Generally no impact, however there may be: • Isolated and minor flooding of low-lying land and roads. • Isolated instances of spray/wave overtopping in coastal roads

range on 4 out of 7 occasions. Each time, the observed number of tropical storms was higher than predicted by the multi-model. It should first be highlighted that the observed number of tropical storms in a given year is, by definition, expected to lie within the 70% prediction interval approximately

, who had long since been trailing behind the rest of the team slipped into a coma and died on 17 February 1912. A month later on 17 March, Lawrence Oates, crippled with frostbite, walked out of the party’s tent and was never seen again; a few days later, the three remaining men were lying

the southwest of England, as in the United Kingdom as a whole, is very much influenced by topography as well as the exposure to the prevailing wind with the largest values occurring over the more highland regions to the west and the smallest values in the low-lying eastern regions. Princetown has

to the IPCC likely range projections for the period up to 2100. There may be a greater than 10% chance that the real-world response lies outside this range and this likelihood cannot be accurately quantified. • We also provide values for the 70th percentile (in the shapefile datasets), which

to reach the Midlands and parts of the south-east by evening. Most areas were cloudy and wet on the 26th, with mist and fog persisting all day in some spots; rain across the east, heavy at times, fell as snow over higher ground, Copley (Durham) reporting 9 cm of lying snow, with showers to follow

UK. Weather diary • Very cold with snow, ice and fog first half, milder but stormy second half the 1st, a depression passed close to northern Scotland, introducing northerly winds, resulting in very cold conditions with sunny spells, and snow showers from the 2nd with all regions reporting lying

2018. All warnings in force on a particular day appear in vertical stack formation with red issues on top, followed by amber then yellow. Each warning displays its weather colour, category and validity period, followed by the weather headline and what to expect sections. Beneath these lies a link

warnings in force on a particular day appear in vertical stack formation with red issues on top, followed by amber then yellow. Each warning displays its weather colour, category and validity period, followed by the weather headline and what to expect sections. Beneath these lies a link