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levels of warming or rainfall changes that are at the top end of what’s considered plausible. Those events which cross ‘tipping points’ – such as the collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet or the breakdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), are also included. AMOC disruption

the regional projections over the UK which assess different local conditions given the uncertainty in the driving information. • Derived projections – a set of climate futures for the UK at 60km grid resolution for a low emissions scenario, RCP2.6 and a global warming level of 2 °C and 4 °C. These have been

by coalescence and condensation in a warm sub-tropical boundary layer. These clouds are associated with drizzle showers with larger drops than the surrounding stratocumulus but with low rates of precipitation reaching the ground, often less than 1 mm per hour. The image shows small scale bands of low

Ed Borlase is a Bronze level Glider operator in Devon, and part of the Dartmoor Gliding Society. Here he tells us the crucial role the weather, weather forecasts and data play in being able to fly safely.

the ground, which in turn heats the air above, and this warm air then rises. As it rises, it cools and expands, forming clouds when the air has cooled to the dew point and the moisture (if present) condenses. These ‘fair weather clouds’, with flat bottoms and fluffy white tops form a clear marker

, Mickleham (Surrey) 62.2 mm (rain fell from 1145Z to 1300Z) South Farnborough (Hampshire) 60.2 mm (rain fell from 1215Z to 1330Z) Upper Basildon (Berkshire) Pirbright Institute (Surrey) Merrist Wood Agricultural College (Surrey) Royal Horticultural Society Gardens, Wisley (Surrey) Frimley Pumping Station

in the day, reaching the Midlands and south-west by dusk. 8th to 13th Winds veered north-westerly on the 8th, with rain moving south-eastwards through the Midlands and south during the morning followed by a mainly cloudy picture with isolated showers. It was warm in the south-east with Writtle (Essex

of climates including semi-arid, warm and cold desert, temperate, tropical savanna, subtropical and oceanic. Situated at the junction of the South Atlantic, Indian and Southern Oceans, variability in sea surface temperatures around the coastlines influences the region’s climate. Elevations above ~700m

., and Coauthors, 2019: Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, S91–S95, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1 Cheng He, Ho Kim, Masahiro Hashizume, Whanhee Lee, Yasushi

this sentence with the following text: “While the central estimate shows a lesser contribution from Antarctica, owing to greater snow accumulated associated with a warmer atmosphere (and increased moisture transports), the large uncertainty in GMSL rise under RCP8.5 is dominated by uncertainty in the future

are not just interested in the surface temperature of the lake. They also want to know about the temperature gradient beneath the surface. A warm current below the surface of the lake sometimes causes fish to rot in the nets before they can be harvested. Nile perch fishermen hang their drift nets