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the decade. Updated decadal forecasts, along with verification of previous forecasts, are available from the Forecast web page. References Smith, D. M., S. Cusack, A. W. Colman, C. K. Folland, G. R. Harris and J. M. Murphy, 2007, Improved surface temperature prediction for the coming decade from

How to choose the most appropriate land projection New to climate projections? Looking for headline messages? Carrying out detailed analysis? See What do you want to do? on UKCP18 website See Key results on UKCP18 website Select strand(s) of land projections based on task Task Probabilistic Global

© Crown Copyright 2023 References Chan, S.C, Kendon, E.J, Fowler, H.J, Youngman, B.D, Dale, M., Short, C. (2023) New extreme rainfall projections for improved climate resilience of urban drainage systems. Climate Services. Vol 30 https://doi. org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100375 Chan, S C, Kendon, E J

for the JMA (left) and JTWC (right) observed TC datasets, for the periods 1982 to 2015 (JMA) and 1947 to 2015 (JTWC). Uncertainty is estimated by the profile likelihood method and the outer curves represent the 95% confidence levels. The minimum threshold is set to 30m/s. The blue line passes through

1.1yrs • Science data on transit thru’ LGA & MGA? © Crown copyright Met Office Ground Segment • Need 4 ground stations (15m dedicated dish) • 2/3 data centres for resilience • UK, US, S Korea ?? © Crown copyright Met Office Priority needs for L5 instruments / parameters • EUV imager • Magnetometer

is a Senior Scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, and co-edited the global climate chapter of the report. He said: “Despite 2017’s surface temperatures not breaking the absolute record, the fact that it is following the pattern of one warm year after another is concerning and we are seeing

is your data recording? What are the units for your data? How was the data collected? Please select... Manually Automated Does your business outcome have any thresholds? No Yes, one. Yes, more than one. If yes, please specify the threshold(s)... Are you aware of any time lag that may affect

in motion for an uptick in temperatures, but the weather patterns then maintaining any hot weather are rather more uncertain”. Temperatures are on the rise again from Sunday and into next week 🌡️ We could reach the low to mid-30's across parts of central and southern England 👇 pic.twitter.com/s1S0mvF7Wm

Areas of expertise  ENSO and ENSO teleconnections Seasonal prediction Ocean modelling My Publications - Ineson, S Current activities ENSO is the largest natural interannual climate signal in the tropics and fluctuations between warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) phases occur every occur every few

of year, particularly for southern areas of the country, where some places may reach the mid 20's. You can check the latest forecast on our website, by following us on Twitter and Facebook, as well as on our mobile app which is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store.