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Flood Predictions: Aug 2018 10km Global Operational OBSERVATIONS Evaluating New Models Global Oper. vs. Research Model 14/08 0-24h precip total Km-scale Convection Permitting OBS 15/08 GA6.1 Operational 4km Day-1 GA8 New Model Aug 2018 Kerala Heavy Rainfall Observation Ensembles - Probabilistic