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September 2010 Sea Ice Outlook

, J. Camp, A. Scaife, P. Xavier and S. Cusack: The GloSea4 ensemble prediction system for seasonal forecasting. In preparation. To be submitted to Monthly Weather Review. Davies, T., Cullen, M. J. P., Malcolm, A. J., Mawson, M. H., Staniforth, A., White, A. A. and Wood, N.: A new dynamical core

ukcp-probabilistic-projections-update-faqs.pdf

D, Bett PE, Bricheno L, Brown S, Calvert D, Clark RT, Eagle KE, Edwards T, Fosser G, Fung F, Gohar L, Good P, Gregory J, Harris GR, Howard T, Kaye N, Kendon EJ, Krijnen J, Maisey P, McDonald RE, McInnes RN, McSweeney CF, Mitchell JFB, Murphy JM, Palmer M, Roberts C, Rostron JW, Sexton DMH, Thornton

PowerPoint Presentation

desired product. Implementation outside the scope of UKCP18. References Borgomeo, E., Pflug, G., Hall, J.W, Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2015). Assessing water resource system vulnerability to unprecedented hydrological drought using copulas to characterize drought duration and deficit, Water Resour

factsheet_1-clouds_2023.pdf

on the horizon or, when in bands cross the whole sky, towards two opposite points on the horizon, called ‘radiation point(s)’. This term applies mainly to stratocumulus, cumulus, altocumulus, altostratus and cirrus clouds. Vertebratus (ve) – clouds whose filaments are arranged in a manner suggestive of vertebrae

News

Risk of thunderstorms this week – June 2020

bright spells this week and it’ll feel warm in the sunshine, with temperatures into the low 20’s Celsius for many.  However eastern areas of the UK will often be cooler and cloudier, especially coastal parts of eastern Scotland and east England. Weekend forecast Looking ahead to the weekend, Deputy

WAFC London Performance Indicators

Mean Square (RMS) error plots. Wind errors account for direction and speed, measured in m/s, while temperature errors are in Kelvin (or degrees Celsius). Time series plots, starting from 2000 or 2001, show steady performance improvement over the years. Download wind and temperature plots (zip file

01640_supercomputer_infographic

Advance global resilience and security Better informed risk assessments for the UK’s resilience to flooding in the changing climate Improving efficiency in weather sensitive operations such as within utilities and aviation To inform climate and weather models and forecasts Amounting to billions of £s

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Thundery showers in the south, before a return to warm, dry weather for all

and South Wales on Wednesday, high pressure will be firmly back in charge bringing settled, dry, and for the vast majority warm and sunny conditions for the remainder of the week. Daytime temperatures will be well above average away from the coast, with low to mid 20°s Celsius across many central

Forecasting ocean waves

a high accuracy regional wave forecast model(s) for UK shelf seas and coastal areas. Develop the wave model to ensure that sea-state specification in a coupled atmosphere-ocean NWP system will have maximum positive benefit. Provide the best available support and technical advice to core forecast users

David Thomson

on the use of stochastic parametrizations to represent the effect of the unresolved eddies. From the 1990’s onward he has also worked on the development of applied dispersion modelling systems, initially the Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System (ADMS) in conjunction with Cambridge Environmental Research

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