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, J. Camp, A. Scaife, P. Xavier and S. Cusack: The GloSea4 ensemble prediction system for seasonal forecasting. In preparation. To be submitted to Monthly Weather Review. Davies, T., Cullen, M. J. P., Malcolm, A. J., Mawson, M. H., Staniforth, A., White, A. A. and Wood, N.: A new dynamical core

and objectives. Furthermore, it also includes a CR4D theory of change, impact pathways and targets in line with the three CR4D knowledge frontiers (KF) to derive their expected outcomes (immediate/intermediate/ long-term) and impact(s). On the CR4D research thematic areas, the plan also provides a brief

the surface to clear mist and fog patches. c. Site specific information Let’s have a look at the METARs/TAFs along the route, do they confirm the information contained in the F215? Have you checked your destination airfield as well as the diversion(s) airfield(s), are they suitable? METAR EGNX

D, Bett PE, Bricheno L, Brown S, Calvert D, Clark RT, Eagle KE, Edwards T, Fosser G, Fung F, Gohar L, Good P, Gregory J, Harris GR, Howard T, Kaye N, Kendon EJ, Krijnen J, Maisey P, McDonald RE, McInnes RN, McSweeney CF, Mitchell JFB, Murphy JM, Palmer M, Roberts C, Rostron JW, Sexton DMH, Thornton

desired product. Implementation outside the scope of UKCP18. References Borgomeo, E., Pflug, G., Hall, J.W, Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2015). Assessing water resource system vulnerability to unprecedented hydrological drought using copulas to characterize drought duration and deficit, Water Resour

on the horizon or, when in bands cross the whole sky, towards two opposite points on the horizon, called ‘radiation point(s)’. This term applies mainly to stratocumulus, cumulus, altocumulus, altostratus and cirrus clouds. Vertebratus (ve) – clouds whose filaments are arranged in a manner suggestive of vertebrae

Advance global resilience and security Better informed risk assessments for the UK’s resilience to flooding in the changing climate Improving efficiency in weather sensitive operations such as within utilities and aviation To inform climate and weather models and forecasts Amounting to billions of £s

and South Wales on Wednesday, high pressure will be firmly back in charge bringing settled, dry, and for the vast majority warm and sunny conditions for the remainder of the week. Daytime temperatures will be well above average away from the coast, with low to mid 20°s Celsius across many central

a high accuracy regional wave forecast model(s) for UK shelf seas and coastal areas. Develop the wave model to ensure that sea-state specification in a coupled atmosphere-ocean NWP system will have maximum positive benefit. Provide the best available support and technical advice to core forecast users

bright spells this week and it’ll feel warm in the sunshine, with temperatures into the low 20’s Celsius for many.  However eastern areas of the UK will often be cooler and cloudier, especially coastal parts of eastern Scotland and east England. Weekend forecast Looking ahead to the weekend, Deputy