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UK sea-level rise in the 21 st century Sea-level rise projections to 2100 Sea-level rise is the primary mechanism by which we expect UK coastal flood hazard to change in the future. The Met Office has projected how sea levels will rise up to 2100 around the UK coastline. The amount of sea-level

. Revision History Date of this revision: 27 th May 2016 Date of Next revision: 1 st June 2017 Revision date 27 May 2016 First issue Summary of Changes Distribution This document has been distributed to Name Title Date of Issue Version Page 2 Product Description Buoy data (19 sites) – latest hourly

it was printed. Revision History Date of this revision: 27 th May 2016 Date of Next revision: 1 st June 2017 Revision date 27 May 2016 First issue Summary of Changes Distribution This document has been distributed to Name Title Date of Issue Version Page 2 Product Description UK and Regional Forecast

rainfall and flooding in the Lake District 18-19 November 2009 Ottery St Mary hailstorm 29-30 October 2008 Central England flooding 20 July 2007 Yorkshire flooding June 2007 Birmingham tornado 28 July 2005 Boscastle floods 16 August 2004 The Braer storm 10 January 1993 Towyn floods 26 February 1990 Burns

UK sea-level rise beyond the 21 st century Sea-level rise projections beyond 2100 Sea levels will continue to rise after 2100 even if we greatly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The Met Office has projected how sea level will rise up to 2300 around the UK coastline. The amount of sea-level rise

downpours especially across Southern England. There were reports of severe flooding across parts of North Cornwall, with up to 7 inches of rainfall falling, with one particular line of intense storms running northeast-wards from St Ives up towards the Cardiff region. Heavy thunder showers rumbled

in the evenings.” Not everywhere will see the showers however and where it remains dry and sunny, temperatures could reach into the high twenties. So it remains to be seen whether this weekend will see the warmest day of the year so far, with the current record held by St James Park in London at 29.1 Celsius

(consistent with keeping global temperature rise to below 2°C) sea ice is projected to remain even in late summer, whereas higher emissions scenarios result in the Arctic being nearly ice-free in late summer during the 21 st Century (Fig. 2). Climate models project that Arctic sea ice will continue

for the JMA (left) and JTWC (right) observed TC datasets, for the periods 1982 to 2015 (JMA) and 1947 to 2015 (JTWC). Uncertainty is estimated by the profile likelihood method and the outer curves represent the 95% confidence levels. The minimum threshold is set to 30m/s. The blue line passes through

8/11 NW 11/15 W 12/17 W 14/19 W 17/23 W 17/24 W 13/18 W 9/13 W 8/11 SW 600 8/10 SW 11/14 SW 13/17 SW 13/18 SW 15/21 W 15/22 W 11/16 W 9/12 SW 8/11 SW 300 4/6 S 5/7 S 6/9 S 7/11 SW 9/15 W 10/16 W 6/11 W 4/6 SW 4/6 S Glen 2/5 W 2/4 W 3/6 SW 3/7 W 7/15 W 9/19 W 6/12 W 3/6 W 2/4 SW Height (m