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and intense storm surges threaten livelihoods and local economies, with potential ripple effects throughout the region. This is because the ports of Djibouti, Berbera, Lamu, Mombasa, Zanzibar and Dar es Salaam serve the region’s landlocked countries, with the low-lying coasts of Djibouti, Kenya
and excluding stations above 500 metres above sea level. 34 SNOW The winter months of 2014 were mostly dominated by a mild Atlantic weather type and consequently there were no major snowfalls during the year across the UK. The most significant snowfall occurred on 26 December 2014 with lying snow
gradient and variability in annual rainfall amounts. Sudan lies at the northern most extent of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and therefore has a strong gradient of rainfall. Rainfall amounts also vary from year-to-year depending on the position and intensity of the ITCZ. Livelihoods
(83 members) along with its 10th and 90th percentiles (uncertainty bounds) in the projection time frame (1950–2098). For annual total precipitation and maximum 1-day precipitation, the two scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 have very similar pattern and boundaries. Observed total precipitation lies
with little choice but to settle in riskier places (Hallegatte, 2017; Dodman et al, 2022). Those include low-lying areas of the rapidly growing coastal cities of Pointe- Noir (R. Congo), Libreville (Gabon), Luanda and Lobito (Angola), Malabo (Equatorial Guinea) and Douala (Cameroon), threatened
retreat is a particular risk in Central Africa due to the profusion of low-lying sandy beaches; a 2018 study identified erosion hotspots in Gabon and Angola and two accretion hotspots in Angola/DRC (Luijendijk et al., 2018). 21 2022, Met Office Figure 3: Baseline climate for the Central Africa region
climate change information benefits of 12.4:1 this lies at the topend of the studies quoted above. Whilst there are two studies exceeding 30:1, most of the studies identified lie in the range of 2: 1 to 14:1. Therefore, when comparing this study’s result it is necessary to consider whether
change scenarios. • The projection ranges are based on the 5th to 95th percentiles of the underlying model distributions. There may be a greater than 10% chance that the real-world response lies outside the 5th to 9th percentile range and this likelihood cannot be accurately quantified. Substantial
. This reflects on the structure of the resulting grids, shown in Figure 6. Figure 3 shows the total emissions and uncertainty, concentrating on UK, Ireland, Benelux, NWEU and EU27. There is very little difference between the ExpY2a and ExpY1 solutions, both lie within the uncertainty of the bottom-up
; negative is downward. W m-2 [YYYYMMDD]T[hhmm]Z-PT[nnnn]H[mm] M-sensible_heat_flux_at_surface.nc Hourly (0-54) 3-hourly (51-120) Instantaneous snow depth water equivalent Liquid water equivalent (LWE) depth of the snow lying on the surface (ground). Typically water is 10 times as dense as snow so
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