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The Human dynamics of climate change poster studies the impacts of climate change in the context of present-day human dynamics

changes in climate and population between a present day  baseline (1981-2010) and the end of the 21st century (2071-2100). The climate projections shown do not include any assumptions about adaptation or adaptive capacity. They represent the potential long-term influence of climate change on human

needed to help them adapt to the impacts of a changing climate. Research showing that human activities increase the risk of an extreme weather or climate event also supports policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. 1 Ren et al. Anthropogenic influences on the persistent night-time heat wave

National Climate Information Centre Climate Memorandum No 24 The Generation of Daily Gridded Datasets of Temperature and Rainfall for the UK by Matthew Perry, Dan Hollis and Margaret Elms National Climate Information Centre (June 2009) NOTE: This document has not been published. Permission to quote

for a particular day and place. At this longer range we have to acknowledge that many outcomes remain possible, even though only one can eventually occur. However, over the course of a whole season (or over a whole year or decade), factors in the global climate system (the atmosphere and oceans) may act

Summary for Scientists Synthesis of literature and available climate information to support resilience-building following Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) in the Philippines 31 July 2015 Joseph Daron and Rosanna Amato Background Project Information Typhoon Haiyan (locally named Yolanda) struck

changes. The attribution protocol represents a step towards delivering attribution as a service. Climate attribution compares the likelihood of an event in the current climate to its likelihood in a counterfactual simulated world with only natural forcing (i.e. without human influence). This approach

the next few months. Seasonal forecasts provide information about these long-term averages. Why are seasonal forecasts possible? Conditions at the Earth's surface, in particular slow fluctuations in the surface temperature of the global oceans, can influence patterns in the weather. These influences

Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

to 1.5 degrees Celsius,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas. Dr Doug Smith leads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre. He said: “This product takes into account natural variations as well as human influences on climate to provide the best possible

High-sensitivity climate models should not be excluded when projecting future regional climate impacts because the level of warming measured globally is not always the only good indicator of regional changes, a new study suggests.

the change in the number of drought events and climate sensitivity. This is because the magnitude of global warming is just one of many factors influencing drought and is often not the most important.  “Our results contradict suggestions that models showing higher warming should be excluded from

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