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or very wet during March and April. Across the Caribbean rainfall has been near- or below normal throughout. Outlook: For the next three months, it is likely to be near-normal or drier than normal across much of the MENA and southern Europe, although the impact of this will be limited

Dr Ian Boutle

a similar task when the ENDGame dynamical core was implemented into the Unified Model. This work has now built the first prototype weather and climate model using the next-generation modelling infrastructure. Previously, Ian has worked on how very high resolution modelling of the Greater London

Dr Zhihong Li

. Such approaches have however a very limited capability of forecasting any developing weather system, which often causes hazardous weather conditions including severe flood events. The accuracy of very short-range NWP depends critically upon the accuracy of the initial conditions and the ability

News

Turning colder with a possibility of snow

of the week there is a possibility of snow across parts of the south, but this is far from certain. David Oliver, a Met Office deputy chief meteorologist, explains: “After some rain on Monday, conditions will turn mainly dry in the south for a time before a very uncertain period on Thursday and Friday

PowerPoint Presentation

-reaching during the northern hemisphere spring. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here

seasonal-forecasts-for-the-energy-industry.pdf

been very positive, with 100% of people wanting to see the briefings repeated in future years and over 90% finding the briefings to be useful or very useful. Following the positive feedback, the forecast briefings were repeated over the winter of 2017/18. A series of cold snaps occurred at the end

Global warming unlikely to be small – new study

, low levels of warming are now found to be far less likely than previously thought. Very high values are slightly less likely. There is much greater certainty that, if left unchecked, global warming would be high enough to bring very severe impacts and risks worldwide.   The study organised

News

Storm Antoni to bring wind and rain

will still see a very wet day, especially in north Wales and north England. “Storm Antoni will also bring strong winds to a swathe of Wales, southwest England and southern coastal areas of England. The strongest winds will affect parts southwest England and southwest Wales where exposed coasts and high

News

Heatwave continues, but a change is on the way

to amplify the pattern across the North Atlantic, pushing the jet stream well to the north of the UK, allowing some very warm air to be drawn north. It’s a marked contrast to the much of meteorological summer, when the UK was on the northern side of the jet stream with cooler air and more unsettled

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