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. Western parts are likely to see more cloud, and a probable cooling trend through the weekend.  “By Monday the higher temperatures will likely become confined to the south east of England where temperatures into the low 30’s Celsius could again occur – which would set a new record for the coming

Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System version 6 (GloSea6) to deliver tailored data and visualisations to clients. Recent studies* have demonstrated GloSea6’s skill in forecasting UK seasonal wind speeds and broader European winter weather patterns. By offering access to GloSea6, Met-Set equips

the worst of the showers, in excess of 30mm of rain is possible within a couple of hours for some locations within the warning area. The warning is valid from 13:00 to 20:00 today (Wednesday).   ⚠️ Yellow weather warning issued ⚠️ Thunderstorms across S Scotland and NE England Wednesday 1300 – 2000 Latest

to hedge supply, avoid blackouts, and trade power prices more effectively. How we help Met-Set harnesses our Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System version 6 (GloSea6) to deliver tailored data and visualisations to clients. Recent studies* have demonstrated GloSea6’s skill in forecasting UK seasonal

of southeast England exceeded 28°C for several days.” However, the warm weather was short-lived, and temperatures returned to around or below average for the last few days of the month. The below graph shows June 2024's daily mean temperatures compared to the long-term average. Near-average sunshine

Mean Square (RMS) error plots. Wind errors account for direction and speed, measured in m/s, while temperature errors are in Kelvin (or degrees Celsius). Time series plots, starting from 2000 or 2001, show steady performance improvement over the years. Download wind and temperature plots (zip file

in the Sahel, and thereby inform the ASPP, with particular focus on Senegal, Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso. Figure 1: Using data described by Monfreda et al. (2008), fraction of area that is covered in all crops, as listed in Monfreda et al.’s Table 1. As part of the ASPIRE project, we have explored

assessed and qualify as reasonable measures. ☐ I confirm that due diligence and anti-fraudulent measures have either; not been assessed, or do not qualify as reasonable measures. Bidder(s) to enter text here to evidence their compliance (200-word limit): 11.4 Confirmation of Key Organisational Documents

, consistent with wet bias in rainfall ● Ascent bias is halved in CP4 simulation, consistent with reduced wet bias Hart, Washington, Stratton (2018) GRL What of S. Africa in future CP4? Local Hadley cell seasonality change: CMIP5 Hadley cell seasonality change: SH New Puzzle with new CP4? 1. Original CP4

magnetic connectivity � some advance warning? ~6h here at 161° At L5 at 60° from S-E line? New developments Data assimilation primer �“analysis”: Model solar wind state brought closer to observations Put analysis into forecast model ENLIL Ability to provide a more accurate running forecast to end users