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probabilities of extreme events with and without the effect of human influence from large multi-model ensembles of climate model simulations. The new analysis employed coupled model data drawn from large multi-model ensembles of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6, Eyring et al., 2016

and weather conditions. For example, staying indoors during a thunderstorm or remembering to wear sun lotion when it is sunny outside. Extension activity: If you’d like to learn more about the job of a Meteorologist at the Met Office, take a look at our ‘Day in the life’ video. If you’d like to share

Bridging the gap between shorter-term seasonal forecasts and long-term climate projections has long been a dream of climate scientists.

climate model simulations – including those representing both the atmosphere and the oceans – are initialised using observations from the current climate. These are further improved when incorporating the influences from human-induced climate change and natural drivers, such as solar radiation. Prof

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. The system also adopts the well-established and peer-reviewed risk-based methodology that infers probabilities of extreme events with and without the effect of human influence from large multi-model ensembles of climate model simulations. The new analysis employed coupled model data drawn from large

and Africa leading to the season’s highest temperature of 18.4 °C at Santon Downham (Suffolk) on 24 February. Dr Mark McCarthy is the head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre. He said: “February 2021 has seen a wide temperature range resulting from the two predominant weather patterns

How the HadUK-Grid climate datasets have been produced.

includes regression and interpolation to generate values on a 1km x 1km grid, taking into account factors such as latitude and longitude, altitude and terrain shape, coastal influence, and urban land use. Gridded data of this type alleviates the impact of the routine opening and closing of individual

warmer than preindustrial levels, according to the climate update. The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update takes into account natural variations as well as human influences on climate to provide the best possible forecasts of temperature, rainfall, wind patterns and other variables

Understanding climate impacts on water resources at both the regional and global scale.

We use climate models, in conjunction with impact models, to make integrated assessments on the effects of climate change and climate variability on water resources. By including important processes such as glaciers, irrigation and interactions with Food, forestry and ecosystem services, we aim

patterns, like we saw last week, bring air from this region to our shores it can bring a stronger signal of climate change with it too, boosting temperatures.  “The UK receives influences from other neighbouring regions and as many of these regions are warming at a faster rate than the UK, our climate