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• risk-management-of-climate-thresholds-and-feedbacks---1-introduction-and-synthesis.pdf

  Factsheet 1 of 6 Version date: Dec 2019 Risk management of climate thresholds and irreversible change: Introduction and synthesis This series of factsheets presents recent Met Office work and plans for future research around risks from thresholds in four components of the climate system

• risk-management-of-climate-thresholds-and-irreversible-change---1---introduction---dec-2019.pdf

  Factsheet 1 of 6 Version date: Dec 2019 Risk management of climate thresholds and irreversible change: Introduction and synthesis This series of factsheets presents recent Met Office work and plans for future research around risks from thresholds in four components of the climate system

• Professor Adam Scaife awarded Edward Appleton Medal

  in modulating surface climate and climate change, the influence of effects such as El Nino on Atlantic climate and his more recent results on predictability of climate seasons or years ahead. On his acceptance of the award, Professor Scaife said: “I’m really delighted and honoured to receive

• High resolution global climate modelling

  . We examine how improved representation of small scale processes in the atmosphere and ocean (such as atmospheric weather phenomena including mid-latitude storms and tropical cyclones, and ocean eddies) influence the large-scale mean state, variability and extremes of the simulated climate

• thresholds-and-feedbacks-introduction.pdf

  Introduction and Synthesis This series of factsheets presents recent Met Office work and plans for future research around risks from thresholds in four components of the climate system: the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC); Ice Sheets; Tropical Forests, and Arctic Sea Ice

• forecasting-the-weather_lesson-plan-age-5-7.pdf

  and weather conditions. For example, staying indoors during a thunderstorm or remembering to wear sun lotion when it is sunny outside. Extension activity: If you’d like to learn more about the job of a Meteorologist at the Met Office, take a look at our ‘Day in the life’ video. If you’d like to share

• Temperature extremes and records most affected by UK’s changing climate

  Climate change is causing a dramatic increase in the frequency of temperature extremes and number of temperature records the UK experiences.

  September heatwave and the most active start to the storm naming season culminating in serious flooding problems in the autumn, it was another year of typically varied weather. But underlying this natural variability is a continuing and increasing influence of climate change which is influencing

• Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

  these influences. The Met Office’s decadal prediction system, DePreSys, starts its forecasts from observed atmospheric and oceanic conditions and incorporates projected emissions and natural climate forcings. Retrospective tests show that DePreSys improves predictions of global average temperature

• hctn_summer_2025_analysis_v1.1.pdf

  ) as the hottest summer on record. A rapid attribution analysis was conducted to quantify the human-influence on the likelihood of reaching or exceeding the 2025 summer mean temperature. The approach provides estimates of the exceedance probability of similar events in the climate of a ‘natural’ world

• hctn_summer_2025_analysis_v1.pdf

  ) as the hottest summer on record. A rapid attribution analysis was conducted to quantify the human-influence on the likelihood of reaching or exceeding the 2025 summer mean temperature. The approach provides estimates of the exceedance probability of similar events in the climate of a ‘natural