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Severe cold on 27 – 30 December 1995: The UK low temperature record of –27
National Climate Information Centre Climate Memorandum No 24 The Generation of Daily Gridded Datasets of Temperature and Rainfall for the UK by Matthew Perry, Dan Hollis and Margaret Elms National Climate Information Centre (June 2009) NOTE: This document has not been published. Permission to quote
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Summer_2026_attribution_reportpdf
. © Crown copyright 2026, Met Office Page 7 of 13 3. Method The method employed is to find exceedance probabilities of the 2026 UK summer mean temperature in the natural world climate without human influence (nat), the current day climate (now) and that of the end of the century (end). The nat
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Amber extreme heat warning issued with heatwave forecast for many
. Temperatures are projected to rise in all seasons, but the heat would be most intense in summer. It is virtually certain that human influence has increased the occurrence and intensity of extreme heat events. Numerous climate attribution studies have shown that human influence increased the chance
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2022 expected to continue run of world’s warmest years
in succession, the Met Office global temperature forecast for the coming year, is slightly lower than some previous years since 2015. This is largely because of the influence of La Niña in the tropical Pacific, where sea surface temperatures are below average. La Niña has a temporary cooling effect
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PowerPoint Presentation
the tropical Pacific. La Niña will be the main driver of temperature and rainfall anomalies across the tropics over the next three months. La Niña’s influence will also extend further north and south, mainly early in the period. Consistent with long-term climate change, many parts of the globe
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20151217 AS AGREED summary
-class standard of the Met Office, with its unified weather and climate model. • This figure excludes the value of the Met Officeʼs international influence, as this, although important, is difficult to quantify and was not in the scope of the Review. It also excludes the value that the Met Officeʼs
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An early look at the winter statistics: just how wet has it been?
intensity.” READ: Why has it been so wet this winter? The role of climate change While this winter’s weather has been heavily influenced by natural variability and atmospheric patterns, climate change provides important context. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, approximately 7% more
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From Amy to Dave: Looking back at the 2025/26 storm season
a few climate models indicate differently. This uncertainty highlights the need for ongoing research into how climate change may influence the severity and frequency of windstorms in northern Europe. An attribution study involving Met Office scientists has shown that climate change has made rainfall
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Has there been a Sudden Stratospheric Warming – and what does that mean for our weather?
Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm
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Global impacts of climate change - observed trends
These maps show the observed regional trends in 6 types of climate extremes and impacts, with examples of impactful extreme weather events attributable partly or wholly to anthropogenic climate change.
of impactful extreme heat events with their severity / likelihood increased by anthropogenic climate change. The map shows observed changes in heavy precipitation since the 1950s. The map shows observed changes in river flows influenced by climate change, between 1971 and 2010. The map shows observed