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eastwards across the country and is likely to bring quite s damp start to many of us on Friday morning. We’ll see outbreaks of rain continue to push their way north and eastwards.   “The further East you are a generally drier and brighter start to Friday morning, the best of any sunshine definitely

the South East and East Anglia. If East Anglia’s daily maximum temperature remains at its current level of 25.2 °C it would easily be the hottest on record, beating 1997’s 25.1 °C. However, on the mean temperature measure it is currently – at 19.4 °C - some way off the 19.9 °C set in 1997. Summer 2018

is Accuracy Ease of use Clearly presented Local detail Trusted provider Useful Info about changing Looks good forecasts Notifications / alerts 4 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.2 Importance (Mean Score – 1 to 5 scale) Q Base: 2089 (all respondents who see forecasts - overall) 60% 66% 33% 31% 30% 26% 22% 14% Note: the %’s do not equal 100% because it is possible to move from one segment (or situation) to another throughout the course of your day.

by ComorphB are currently not perfect. Work is ongoing evaluate these in a systematic manner. • Additional work will focus on how to scale down the initial θv and RH perturbations used for updraft initial conditions. New method for scale analysis: •Identify cores as W > 0.1 m/s and QL > 1e-4 kg/kg

various delivery mechanisms, including social protection systems. In terms of forecast methods roughly half the examples reviewed use probabilistic forecasts (including all the Red Cross pilot systems, the World Food Programme (WFP)’s FoodSECuRE programme and the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC) El

m/s) and a probability value (e.g. 40%). When setting thresholds you should initially set the weather value to the limit that represents a significant level; for example, you may have a safe working at height wind speed of 15 m/s, so that is the value you should use for the red threshold