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in the grid box (e.g. at the top of the BL). Achieves good performance without the need for EACF. Diagnostic cloud fraction. • Prognostic cloud, prognostic condensate (PC2) – developed in the late 90’s/early 00’s. Cloud fraction is a prognostic which allows increments to be made to it from other schemes

, the Met Office has been using data over Europe from thousands of aircraft each day to improve weather forecasts. This data, known as Mode-S EHS, includes information such as wind speed, temperature, and aircraft position, which is collected during flights. Originally used for air traffic control

”. Organisation classification - The final selection is Organisation Classification section, although the list can change depending what the procuring organisation(s) have chosen to ask for. This is a mandatory section which must be populated. This is the section where the supplier can indicate

region (5˚S to 5˚N; 120˚W to 170˚W) often used to monitor El Niño/La Niña development), and predominantly cool anomalies in the Main Development Region (shown boxed – 10˚N to 20˚N; 20˚W to 60˚W) in the tropical North Atlantic. The GloSea-predicted temporal evolution of tropical Pacific SST anomalies

in the tropical Pacific Niño3.4 region (5°S–5°N, 120°W–170°W). Predicted positive anomalies in the Niño.3.4 region indicated the development of El Niño type conditions, and this was supported by international consensus, co-ordinated by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). El Niño conditions and below

of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; F. E. L. Otto—Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; S. Wilson and R. G. Jones—Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; M. R. Allen—Atmospheric, Oceanic

be received no later than Friday 30 th September 2022 11am BST. OFFICIAL 4 OFFICIAL The following table sets out the two-stage application timeline in more detail. Activity Date(s) Stage 1: Concept Call launch 5 th September 2022 Concept Call Deadline Friday 30 th September 2022 Evaluation of Concepts

various delivery mechanisms, including social protection systems. In terms of forecast methods roughly half the examples reviewed use probabilistic forecasts (including all the Red Cross pilot systems, the World Food Programme (WFP)’s FoodSECuRE programme and the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC) El

is Accuracy Ease of use Clearly presented Local detail Trusted provider Useful Info about changing Looks good forecasts Notifications / alerts 4 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.2 Importance (Mean Score – 1 to 5 scale) Q Base: 2089 (all respondents who see forecasts - overall) 60% 66% 33% 31% 30% 26% 22% 14% Note: the %’s do not equal 100% because it is possible to move from one segment (or situation) to another throughout the course of your day.

the South East and East Anglia. If East Anglia’s daily maximum temperature remains at its current level of 25.2 °C it would easily be the hottest on record, beating 1997’s 25.1 °C. However, on the mean temperature measure it is currently – at 19.4 °C - some way off the 19.9 °C set in 1997. Summer 2018