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various delivery mechanisms, including social protection systems. In terms of forecast methods roughly half the examples reviewed use probabilistic forecasts (including all the Red Cross pilot systems, the World Food Programme (WFP)’s FoodSECuRE programme and the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC) El

m/s) and a probability value (e.g. 40%). When setting thresholds you should initially set the weather value to the limit that represents a significant level; for example, you may have a safe working at height wind speed of 15 m/s, so that is the value you should use for the red threshold

by ComorphB are currently not perfect. Work is ongoing evaluate these in a systematic manner. • Additional work will focus on how to scale down the initial θv and RH perturbations used for updraft initial conditions. New method for scale analysis: •Identify cores as W > 0.1 m/s and QL > 1e-4 kg/kg