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eastwards across the country and is likely to bring quite s damp start to many of us on Friday morning. We’ll see outbreaks of rain continue to push their way north and eastwards.   “The further East you are a generally drier and brighter start to Friday morning, the best of any sunshine definitely

the South East and East Anglia. If East Anglia’s daily maximum temperature remains at its current level of 25.2 °C it would easily be the hottest on record, beating 1997’s 25.1 °C. However, on the mean temperature measure it is currently – at 19.4 °C - some way off the 19.9 °C set in 1997. Summer 2018

various delivery mechanisms, including social protection systems. In terms of forecast methods roughly half the examples reviewed use probabilistic forecasts (including all the Red Cross pilot systems, the World Food Programme (WFP)’s FoodSECuRE programme and the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC) El

m/s) and a probability value (e.g. 40%). When setting thresholds you should initially set the weather value to the limit that represents a significant level; for example, you may have a safe working at height wind speed of 15 m/s, so that is the value you should use for the red threshold

consideration. 3. Your ODA compliance statement should clearly define the challenge(s) that your project will seek to address. You can do this by explaining the impact that the problem or challenge has on the economic development of the recipient country or the welfare of its population. The statement

variability on inter-annual timescales. The ENSO cycle is illustrated in the figure by a time-series of the monthly sea surface temperature anomalies in a region of the central equatorial Pacific. This 'Niño3.4' region (5°S-5°N,120°W-170°W) is one of several used to monitor changes in the tropical Pacific

over southern hemisphere. (Right). Cut off low development during 15-17 May 2005. Temperature (shaded; K), geopotential height (contour; gpm) and winds (vectors; m/s) are used to depict the different stages of Cut-Off Low. Remya et al., (2016) • Persistent cut-off lows tend to appear in the southern

. Month MM e.g. = 08 12. Year YYYY e.g. = 2010 13. Forecast period or timestep. e.g. = 0 where the data that follows is the forecast for 0 hours on from the start time in field 7 14. Wind Direction ‘N’, ‘NNE’, ‘NE’,’ENE’, ‘E’, ‘ESE’, ‘SE’, ‘SSE’, ‘S’, ‘SSW’, ‘SW’, ‘WSW’, ‘W’, ‘WNW’, ‘NW’ or ‘NW’ 15. Wind

. = 2010 13. Forecast period or timestep. e.g. = 51 where the data that follows is the forecast for 51 hours on from the start time in field 7 14. Wind Direction ‘N’, ‘NNE’, ‘NE’,’ENE’, ‘E’, ‘ESE’, ‘SE’, ‘SSE’, ‘S’, ‘SSW’, ‘SW’, ‘WSW’, ‘W’, ‘WNW’, ‘NW’ or ‘NW’ 15. Wind Speed Integer – mph -99 16

Inundation Freshwater OASIS coupler OCEAN: NEMO River Nutrients, Temperature Wave height, Sfc stress Currents, Depth FABM cpl 3D Currents, 3D T, S Water Colour BIOGEOCHEMISTRY: ERSEM Coupling term in UKC4 Future coupling term UK Environmental Prediction research Near real time ensemble capability