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temperature forecast. Professor Adam Scaife is the Met Office head of long-range prediction. He said: “Natural events – such as El Niño-induced warming in the Pacific – influence the climate system, but in the absence of El Niño, this forecast gives a clear picture of the strongest factor causing

than average sea surface temperatures also helped develop cloud, which has been quite a frequent visitor this season.” Dr Mark McCarthy, of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre, said: “It was a particularly dull and wet start to spring, and with April more in line with averages

are an important influence on regional climate in many areas. Simulating changes in river flows We calculated the streamflows in major river basins 1 using the JULES land surface model which takes meteorological factors such as precipitation, temperature and humidity as inputs. Figure 1 show the ranges

. Most studies focus on the impacts of sea-level rise on human and natural coastal systems, however no studies attempt to attribute impacts to relative and extreme sea-level changes. Historical studies, based on in-situ and remote sensing data, highlight the significant influence of non-climate

Office’s Dr Nick Dunstone, who has led the 2023 global temperature forecast, said: “The global temperature over the last three years has been influenced by the effect of a prolonged La Niña – where cooler than average sea-surface temperatures occur in the tropical Pacific. La Niña has a temporary cooling

Development Solutions Dr M Budimir, Senior Climate and Resilience Expert, Impact, Influence and Innovation, Practical Action Jawairia Ahmad, Land atmosphere scientist, UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Adriaan Perrel, Economic analysis Lead, Tyrsky Consulting Douglas Parker, PI, University of Leeds

Pacific Ocean and this influences global temperatures, pushing them above the trend from man-made climate change. However, this year is noteworthy because, even without that extra shove from El Niño, we are seeing annual temperatures that are higher than anything in the record prior to 2015

New service provides Local Authorities crucial information on climate change in their area.

we have in our weather across the UK is a continuing and increasing influence of human induced climate change which is shaping the weather we experience. Most notably we’re seeing more extreme heat and intense rainfall events, with impacts felt at the local level. To deal with this, local

data which will improve the accuracy of weather forecasting and generate a better analyses of the state of the North Sea. Read more 4 news items Future weather extremes likely to break new records 22 Oct 2020 New report on the state of global climate in 2019 12 Aug 2020 Increasing influence