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Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2012

All tropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere season in 2012 are listed below including details of their start and end dates and maximum sustained wind (MSW). Qualitative comments are included on the performance of the Met Offi

Click on the name of the tropical cyclone to see a chart of the observed track and forecast tracks from the Met Office global model. Verification statistics on each tropical cyclone are available upon request from [email protected]. At the end of the season a verification report on the performance

food_security_climate_change_assessment_sudan.pdf

reduces with increasing latitude as the ITCZ reaches its maximum northerly extent. The most northern areas of Sudan receive virtually no rainfall. Wet season rainfall totals are highly variable from year-to-year due to large-scale dynamics in the climate system, such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation

January a month of two halves for UK weather

so far.   At this point in the season, you’d expect 68% of winter’s average rainfall and sunshine. At the conclusion of January, both of these are at 69%, though there have been obvious fluctuations, as is normal in a UK winter.   So far, there has been 236.7mm of rain for the UK in winter, though

News

Increasing influence of climate change on UK climate

the last decade Winter and Spring have seen 13% more sunshine3 Temperatures have been warmer by 0.9 °C3 Summers have been 13% wetter and winters have been 12% wetter3 Climate statistics in 2019 4 high temperature records Above average susnhine hours3 One of the least snowy years on record4 6 named storms5

ukcp18_local_update_faq.pdf

does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

News

Winter and February climate statistics

The winter of 2020/21 overall has been wet and dull with near average temperature.

Interestingly we have seen the highest and lowest temperatures of the winter season in February. Cold conditions from the east brought low temperatures down to the lowest of -23.0°C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on 11 February followed by a southerly flow bringing warm weather from the Canaries

mwr_2024_11_for_print_v1.pdf

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

mwr_2024_11_for_print.pdf

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

mo_bangladesh.pdf

about contingency measures. At the same time it will help them develop definite strategies for dealing with the more likely outcome of flooding seasons. Providing this type of probabilistic climate information requires a good understanding of the drivers of Asian monsoon and how they will change

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