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, contrary to what is often believed, when it comes to the very coldest days, with highest electricity demand, wind energy supply starts to recover”. The team found that during the highest 5% of energy demand days, one third produce more wind power than the winter average. Hazel added: “The very coldest

seen warmer than normal conditions across Russia and the Arctic. Outlook: For the next three months, warmer than normal sea temperatures, associated with the mature La Niña are becoming established close to the Philippines and Indonesia, resulting in warmer than normal conditions being very likely

at times. Cooler conditions also extended to Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan during September. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely across much of the continent and very likely across Papua New Guinea, Indonesia and Timor- Leste. The exception is across parts of India and Central Asia where

cool, including Syria, Lebanon and Iraq. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are very likely across MENA increasing the likelihood of heatwaves and heat related impacts. The Caribbean and northern parts of South America are also very likely to experience above normal temperatures. 3-Month Outlook

. Outlook: Over the next three months, warmer than normal temperatures are likely for a large swathe of the continent, except for parts of Southern Africa where below normal temperatures are likely. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely

of the Boreal spring and into the summer. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https

and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: 3-Month Outlook March to May - Rainfall In western Africa most places have been near-normal over the last three months. Exceptions include Ghana which was very wet in November, Nigeria which was wet in November, and Liberia and Cameroon which were very dry in December

of the Sahel. However, during August most of these regions were dry. During June itwas wet or very wet at times across large parts of Eastern Africa. In July and August, much of this region was dry or near-normal, with the exception of Sudan, and some areas of Kenya, which were wet. Many parts of Southern

- Rainfall Current Status: In western Africa rainfall has been mostly near-normal. The exceptions were Nigeria and Cameroon in October and then Liberia in December which were drier than normal. Ghana and Nigeria were wet or very wet in November. In central Africa rainfall has been mostly near

cool, including Syria, Lebanon and Iraq. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are very likely across MENA, increasing the likelihood of heatwaves and heat related impacts. The Caribbean and northern parts of South America are also very likely to experience above normal temperatures. 3-Month Outlook