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The Advanced Ensemble Networked Assimilation System is a new suite of space weather forecasting models available to the Met Office that focuses on how space weather can influence the thermosphere and ionosphere here on Earth. The suite, built at the University of Birmingham, and developed

how much skill was added by the meteorologists for each forecast category and for each airport. Airports used in verification ICAO Name Duration Region EGBB Birmingham 24 hr South EGCN Doncaster Sheffield 24 hr South EGGD Bristol 24 hr South EGGW London Luton 24 hr South EGFF Cardiff 24 hr South

or cancelled and several rail companies advised people not to travel as fallen trees and power failures affected the network. Almost 300 flood warnings were in place in England, with others in Wales and Scotland. Hundreds of properties located near the River Severn in the West Midlands were flooded

widespread flooding problems across South West England, the Midlands, Wales, Cumbria and Scotland. One man died in Somerset when his car was submerged in floodwater. In Exeter, a large retaining wall collapsed and in Plymouth there was some structural damage reported due to high winds. There were

across the UK, with temperatures soaring well above average for the time of year. Much of England west of the Meridian, including the West Midlands, far eastern and southeastern Wales, the M4 corridor, and the West Country, can expect peak temperatures around 34°C, with a 20% chance of reaching 35°C

Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - north-west Pacific

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the North-West Pacific region (west of 180 degrees longitude). For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

in reanalyses bring these models’ futures into question Supporting Information: • Figures S1–S9 Correspondence to: R. James, [email protected] Citation: James, R., R. Washington, and R. Jones (2015), Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa, J. Geophys. Res

North West England & Isle of Man: climate This describes the main features of the climate of Cheshire, Merseyside, Greater Manchester, Lancashire, Cumbria, part of North Yorkshire and the Isle of Man. The eastern boundary of the region lies along the watershed of the Pennines. There are several

temperatures were generally near or slightly above normal. Rainfall was 152% of average, and much of Lincolnshire, the Midlands and east Wales had well over twice the normal rainfall. Sunshine was 95% of average, and it was a dull June in Lincolnshire, the Midlands, the south-west and most of Wales

affected parts of the East Midlands and south-east early on the 5th, but all areas were sunny by lunchtime, apart from the south-west which saw scattered showers. Southern coasts had fog on the 6th, otherwise it was generally bright or sunny, but with showers for the south-west, Midlands and eastern