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in the season, you’d expect 85%. There is of course, much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry, whilst north-western parts of the UK, especially Scotland, have been much wetter. Northern Scotland has already seen 98% of its seasonal

Storms Atiyah (December 2019) and Brendan (January 2020) Storm Atiyah was the first named storm of the 2019/2010 season. The storm was named by Met Eireann, with the worst impacts across Ireland, but the storm also brought some very strong winds to Wales and south-west England overnight 8 to 9

flowers,” in 1557 and variations on that are still used today. Do April showers really bring May flowers? The saying might lead you to believe that April is a particularly wet month in the UK, but that’s not the case according to the Met Office’s long-term average statistics. According to Met Office HadUK

recharge, increase the likelihood that tolerance thresholds will be exceeded for certain crops and livestock, and combine with increases in rainfall variability and the length of dry periods to increase drought severity and irrigation demand. A projected delayed onset to the wet season may result

conditions can affect the islands. In the wet season, these tropical cyclones can cause extensive damage to local infrastructure, agriculture, and major food sources as well as disrupting transport between the islands. In the dry season, the island can experience prolonged drought conditions, depleting

and their potential to influence the type of weather in the UK over the course of a season, dry, windy, hot etc. Factors in the global climate system act to make some outcomes more likely than others, because of this we can make a prediction, showing a spread of possible outcomes. We present the likelihood

greenhouse gas emissions evolve. Weather will continue to vary in future, and may become more variable. Extreme daily rainfall events (1 in 20–years or rarer) in all seasons show increases in median estimates. There is an increased chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. Sea level

0.5ᵒC everywhere (with an average difference of 0.1ᵒC on a temperature increase of 2.5ᵒC for the British Isles as a whole). Fixing the graupel code error also significantly 2 impacts simulated present-day precipitation in winter, with the fixed-code run somewhat wetter although still not as wet

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

, was on average 0.1 °C warmer than the 1981-2010 average and 0.8 °C warmer than the 1961-1990 average hottest day of 26 °C. 2.5 The most recent decade (2009-2018) has been on average 1% wetter than 1981- 2010 and 5% wetter than 1961-1990 for the UK overall. 2.6 Winters in the UK, for the most recent