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of Wind for DJF and JJA Fig 6. Projections of Precipitation for Winter (DJF) and Summer (JJA) of 2050s Results � • Validation: Fig 2 to Fig 4 T: DJF-model>obs; JJA-model<obs (Fig 2) P: DJF-model wetter; JJA-model drier (Fig 3) W: model predicted less strength of Westerlies than obs for both seasons (Fig

mwr_2024_08_for_print.pdf

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

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UK experiences coolest summer since 2015

named on the 22 August. Lilian was the 12th storm to be named this storm season, and is the furthest through the list the Western European naming group has got since storm naming was introduced in 2015. Met Office Scientist Emily Carlisle explained: “I don’t think it will surprise anyone

Microsoft Word - NEB_upd_2019_AC

-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between 23 January and 12 February which cover the period

Understanding the Met Office’s WeatherReady preparedness work

(@metoffice) January 11, 2026 How does WeatherReady help? 1. Practical advice for every season WeatherReady provides clear, actionable advice for all times of year. In winter, this might include tips on keeping your home warm, preventing burst pipes, or driving safely in icy conditions. In summer

Microsoft Word - 2024_09_storm_bert_conall.docx

Storm Bert, 22 to 25 November 2024 and storm Conall, 26 to 27 November A deep Atlantic low pressure system, named Storm Bert, brought a spell of extremely wet and windy weather in late November. The weekend of Saturday 23rd to Sunday 24th was exceptionally wet across South Wales and south-west

mearns_2013_narccap.pdf

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

southern-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-final.pdf

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

factsheet_4-climate-of-the-british-isles_2023.pdf

the UK and they ‘block’ the passage of depressions. These anticyclones are most common in spring but can occur in all seasons — sometimes they can persist for a month or more and completely change the character of the weather. In summer, the blocking anticyclones can bring a prolonged spell of warm

Met Office deep dive: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences

: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences Author: Press Office 1 October 2025 Are we in for a stormy spell on Friday night? How wet will it get before then? And could a tropical tango influence both of those things? This week’s Met Office deep dive explores a complex and dynamic weather pattern

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