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) RCP4.5 2.4 (1.7-3.2) SRES B1 (low emissions scenario in UKCP09) RCP6.0 2.8 (2.0-3.7) SRES B2 (between the low and medium emission scenarios in UKCP09) RCP8.5 4.3 (3.2-5.4) SRES A1F1 (high emissions scenario in UKCP09) Table 1: The increase in global mean surface temperature averaged over 2081-2100

suggest that the Pacific Ocean may play a key role. Global mean surface temperatures rose rapidly from the 1970s, but there has been little further warming over the most recent 10 to 15 years to 2013. This has prompted speculation that human induced global warming is no longer happening, or at least

record temperatures for the late August bank holiday. A thundery breakdown followed, and the last few days were cooler with some heavy persistent rain over much of Scotland and Cumbria. The provisional UK mean temperature was 15.8 °C, which is 0.9 °C above the 1981-2010 longterm average. Mean maximum

southwards with the winter monsoon. Elsewhere conditions were much more mixed. Outlook: La Niña will continue to exert its influence across the region in the coming months. Wetter than normal conditions very likely over much of the Philippines, and likely over large parts of Indonesia and the far east

during January as well as southern Vietnam over the last three months. Otherwise, most areas have been warm or hot. Outlook: It is likely to be warmer than normal over most of Asia during the next three months, Eastern China, Korea, Japan and northern parts Indonesia are much more likely to be warmer

Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Asia: July to April Overview 3 Asia Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Wetter than normal conditions have been experienced across large parts of southern Asia over the last couple of months, after many parts experienced a drier than normal

................................................................................... 22 8. Application of Weather Pattern Definitions over South Africa in Impact-based Mediumrange Forecasting ............................................................................................................... 24 9. 21 st century sea level rise for the coast of South Africa

December 2020 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. The first week of December was unsettled and turned increasingly cold, with low pressure becoming slow-moving and giving spells of rain, with sleet and snow over high ground and locally to low levels. It turned

cold winters in 1881, 1895 and 1962-3 (when the upper Thames froze over) the Thames has not frozen over sufficiently to allow a Frost Fair since 1814. This is largely due to changes in the river and its built environment. The Thames of the past is very different from that of today. The wider

of short passages for the purposes of criticism or review, no part of this document may be reproduced without permission. Table of Contents Page Executive Summary 1 1 Background and Objectives 14 1.1 The Met Office 14 1.2 General Review 14 1.3 Study Objectives 14 2 Over-arching methodology 16 2.1