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form natural targets to explore for decadal predictability, given they have been diagnosed as related to SST in the literature. Supported by: Fund Manager: References (the subset included in the text) Barnston, A. G., Li, S., Mason, S. J., DeWitt, D. G., Goddard, L., & Gong, X. (2010). Verification

career, Dr Hort - who is originally from St Albans in Hertfordshire - has worked on the dispersion of many airborne hazards. Perhaps the highest profile was his work on the eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano in Iceland in 2010. The dispersion of volcanic ash forced the grounding of many

, Devon 58.2 13 October 2002 09:00 - 12 hours20 St. Athan, Glamorgan 42.0 13 October 2002 09:00 - 12 hours5.5 Cardiff Weather Centre 40.0 13 October 2002 09:00 - 12 hours5.7 Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire 40.0 13 October 2002 14:00 - 3 hours 25 Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire 32.0 13 October 2002 14:00

in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 90

increases in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where

increases in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where

. In particular, upper end increases in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number

is. This is a combination of the dimension(s) of the upscaling task (horizontal, vertical, functional), and the ambition (what, where, when, how much, for whom, by whom, why?). This sets out what the ‘upscaling strategy’ (to be developed in Stage 3) aims to achieve. Dimension Ambition Vision Step 1.2

. High Performance Computing resources were provided by NIWA in collaboration with the New Zealand e-Science Infrastructure (NeSI). We thank the Momentum Partnership and NIWA for travel support to attend the Global Seamless Modelling Workshop. References • Rampal, N., Gibson, P.B., Sood, A., Stuart, S

Land General climate change trends projected over UK land for the 21 st century are broadly consistent with earlier projections (UKCP09) showing an increased chance of milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers along with an increase in the frequency and intensity of extremes. � � � When we