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• PowerPoint Presentation

  with atmospheric and sea surface temperature conditions indicative of El Niño- Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions. ENSO is most likely to remain in a neutral phase, at least through the Northern Hemisphere spring. With ENSO-neutral conditions likely to continue through the Northern

• PowerPoint Presentation

  at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https

• PowerPoint Presentation

  ) before slightly increasing during the Northern Hemisphere autumn and early winter 2022 (62-66% chance). Therefore, it seems likely that La Niña will remain a dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable

• PowerPoint Presentation

  -23, with a transition to ENSOneutral (the most likely outcome) during February-April 2023 (57% chance). La Niña will remain the most dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g. East Africa

• PowerPoint Presentation

  Asia: February to November Overview 4 Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June to August - Temperature La Niña conditions are likely to persist for at least the next three months, although it is likely to weaken during this period. Many parts of the globe are likely to be warmer than

• PowerPoint Presentation

  Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Asia: March to December Overview 4 Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook July to September - Temperature The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral and is most likely to remain so for at least

• PowerPoint Presentation

  as is expected to remain so for at least the next three months, and this decreases the predictability of seasonal forecasts. Later this year, there is small chance of La Niña redeveloping. However, ENSO predictions made at this time of year have lower skill than at other times of the year. Despite

• blended-probabilistic-forecast-parameter-catalogue.xlsx

  . probability_of_cloud_base_height_assuming_only_consider_cloud_area_fraction_greater_than_XXX_oktas_below_threshold (2p5, 4p5) height_AGL_at_cloud_base_where_cloud_cover_XXX_oktas (2p5, 4p5) Height of the base of the lowest cloud above ground level where there is at least 2.5 oktas (eighths) or 4.5 oktas of cloud cover. This is also referred to as the altitude

• Cold and snowy week ahead – February 2021

  illnesses. “Make a call, or socially-distanced doorstep visit if they live close by, to remind them to heat their home to at least 18 Celsius, 64.4 Fahrenheit and to keep up to date with the forecast. It’s also helpful to check they have enough food and drinks and any medicines they need.” Weather

• Met Office daily weather: Showers and wind dominate but some brighter spells to come

  outlook: Wet, windy, and changeable “So, that's at least one benefit of the weekend as otherwise it is looking fairly unsettled. Now the cloud does slowly melt away through Saturday evening. Continue to see some showers though across the far north and west of Scotland, but elsewhere it will turn much