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College, London, UK 3 University of Southampton, UK www.metoffice.gov.uk Contents Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 3 1.1 Background

, showcasing the Met Office's pioneering spirit to keep evolving in leveraging technology for global benefit. 22 November 1984 was a pivotal moment, when the World Area Forecast System regulations first came into force in ICAO documentation. This milestone officially designated us as WAFC London

the skies, but from the ground, or rather, just above it. Back in July, swarms of flying ants were picked up on radar, appearing as strange, flashing echoes to the northwest of London. These were initially mistaken for showers, but closer inspection revealed their true identity. Flying ants, being

for the seasonal mean temperature • Medians increases with rarity, because 1-in-100 year events are by construction higher than 1-in-20 or 1-in-50 year events • Uncertainty ranges in return level also increase slightly with return period Figure 1 A comparison of summer daily maximum temperature for a London

the south may bring some changes. Wednesday morning will see showers across parts of Scotland, some of which could be heavy and thundery. These will clear north-eastwards. Later in the day, the southeast may see showery bursts associated with the front, particularly affecting Kent, London, and East

, with the potential to damage aircraft engines and systems. As the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs), we are responsible for monitoring and forecasting ash dispersion from volcanic eruptions originating in Iceland and the north-eastern corner of the North Atlantic. Specialist forecasters produce

to change direction, potentially ushering in warmer air to London and the south-east, where temperatures could climb to 23 or even 25°C, depending on wind orientation. However, conditions remain much less pleasant across north-western parts of the UK. READ MORE: Hurricanes, typhoons and tornadoes: What’s

, there are no signs of a prolonged mild spell, as colder air remains close to the north of the UK. The temperature pattern will be up and down, with London seeing a sharp rise followed by a gradual drop, and Edinburgh experiencing less dramatic changes but still some fluctuations. In summary

, conditions turn milder this weekend and remain relatively mild into the early part of next week. However, both London and Glasgow indicate a distinct cooling trend towards the end of February and the start of March, with temperatures dipping below average once again. Minimum temperatures will also

daily maximum temperature recorded in the UK and Wales for November was 22.4°C at Trawsgoed (Ceredigion) on 1 November 2015. England’s highest November daily maximum was 21.1°C, observed at several locations including Cambridge Botanic Gardens, Writtle (Essex), Tottenham (London), Galleywood (Essex