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correction to forecasts • While reducing model bias is generally very important (not least because of non-linearities), in seasonal forecasting bias correction reduces the importance of biases • Mostly, we are concerned with other aspects of performance, such as the scale of year-to-year variability

or are over the age of 65, it is important to try and heat your home to at least 18°C if you can.’’ Travel disruption Dale Hipkiss, National Network Manager at National Highways, said: “Keeping a kit of essential items like a torch and warm clothes, in your vehicle, can be vital in case you and your

Leitrim © The Wildlife Trusts © Russell Savory Cavan Louth Meath 02444 Barn Owl populations in County Down, Northern Ireland and alignment to weather from 2012-2023 County Down Site description There are a number of barn owl sites in County Down and this is the county with the least amount of rainfall

. Actions: 1. Met Office CCAs to continue to offer the national calls for those events that will affect at least two areas 2. Scottish Government to check they have all the right contacts listed and awareness that these calls take place and invite any parties that may be missing Item 6: Common

to the public. It has been a busy year for the four intergovernmental organisations that the Met Office works with. These are the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological

to markets and economic interconnectedness in the most developed countries means they have a different food security profile and are not affected by climate risks in the same way as the least-developed countries which rely more heavily on in-country food production. In addition, small countries

). Therefore, it seems likely that La Niña will remain a dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter

the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can

(ENSO) remains neutral and is most likely to remain so for at least the next three months. Later this year, there is small chance of La Niña redeveloping. However, predictions made at this time of year have lower skill than at other times and therefore the confidence in the evolution of ENSO over

Overview 4 Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June to August - Temperature La Niña conditions are likely to persist for at least the next three months, although it is likely to weaken during this period. Many parts of the globe are likely to be warmer than normal over the next three