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, please contact the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 From Sorcery to Supercomputers A brief history of key developments in meteorology as illustrated by Treasures from

% chance). Therefore, it seems likely that La Niña will remain a dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase

that light rain was typically forecast to be within 11km of the observation, whereas for heavy rain, the location accuracy was at least 160km. The accuracy of the Met Office Global Model is higher, or similar, to models from other National Weather Centres. It was found that the number of new cholera cases

with increasing greenspace • No effect for women The interaction between gender and urban green space availability, in their relationship with respiratory disease mortality. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) given relative to the reference group (males in the wards with least green space, IRR = 1.0

) and at least one example of relevant work and two references should be submitted. EoI’s to be submitted to ([email protected] with a copy to [email protected]) by Tuesday 13 th April, 16:00 GMT, with skype calls held with those shortlisted on Friday 16 th April. The contract is expected

rain-gauges read daily at 0900 GMT - with only a 24-hour total available for this period. A comparison for different durations can only be made by rain-gauges which record at a sub-daily time-scale - i.e tipping-bucket rain-gauges, for which we have much less historical data. (The Met Office midas database holds at least 200,000 station-years of daily rainfall data, but the majority of these digitized data are from 1961). © Crown Copyright

Interested individuals or organisations are requested to submit a maximum two-page EoI, outlining the proposed methodology, timeline, and costings. In addition, attachments of relevant experience (CV or equivalent) and at least one example of relevant work and two references should be submitted. EOI’s

for at least 48 hours and travel over 1000km. Units are number of cyclones per month per 5˚ spherical cap (~106km2). Image credit: Duncan Ackerley. 1 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types-of-weather/wind/helm-wind https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types

to November Overview 4 Likely Likely Much More Likely Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June to August - Temperature La Niña conditions are likely to persist for at least the next three months, although it is likely to weaken during this period. Many parts of the globe are likely

are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral is expected to prevail for at least the next three months. Longer term, the likelihood of La Niña developing increases during the northern hemisphere autumn. However, ENSO-neutral remains the most likely outcome. More information on typical impacts