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Time steps Hourly covering the period T+0 to T+48, then 3 hourly to T+120 (Unless stated) Model Run Times 00, 03*, 06, 09, 12, 15*, 18 & 21 UTC All runs to T+54, *Extended runs to T+120 Format GRIB2 Met Office FitzRoy Road, Exeter Devon, EX1 3PB United Kingdom Tel: 01392 885680 Fax: 01392 885681

) was blown down. Weather data Synoptic situation at 0600 UTC 28 October 2013 The graph below shows mean sea level pressure recorded at four stations - St Marys Airport (Isles of Scilly), Chivenor (Devon), Benson (Oxfordshire) and Wattisham (Suffolk). The storm continued to deepen and intensify

Office, said: “Storm Alex has clipped the southern edge of Britain today bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the country. The highest gust of 71 mph was at Berry Head on the Devon coast, but winds are now easing for most. Away from the south it is a more pleasant day, with light winds and bright

to the Falklands and a positive visit by Minister McCarthy and the MP for East Devon o A recent collaboration with the Royal Meteorological Society resulted in the creation of a toolkit for scientists. � Adam Jackson (DSIT representative) presented an update highlighting that the Spending Review and Civil Service

1920 *Based on HadUK-Grid data for Devon 1940 1960 1980 Baseline 2000 Calculating Exeter’s future climate The Met Office uses computer models to simulate decades into the future. These models tell us that increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere leads to an increase in global

Ward, M.N. and Folland, C.K. 1991: Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the North Nordeste of Brazil using eigenvectors of sea surface temperature. Int. J. Climatology., 11, 711- 743. @ Crown copyright 2020 7 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] @ Crown copyright 2020 Met Office: Tel: +44(0)1392 885680 FitzRoy Road, Exeter Fax: +44(0)1392 885681 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] UK www.metoffice.gov.uk 8

rainfall in the North Nordeste of Brazil using eigenvectors of sea surface temperature. Int. J. Climatology., 11, 711- 743. @ Crown copyright 2020 7 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] @ Crown copyright 2020 Met Office: Tel: +44(0)1392 885680 FitzRoy Road, Exeter Fax: +44(0)1392 885681 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] UK www.metoffice.gov.uk 8

. a). Fraction of time with hot weather at 2°C b). Difference between fraction of time with hot weather at 2°C and 1.5°C Figure 1. Percentage of time with daily maximum temperatures above the current hottest 10% a) 2°C global warming b) Difference between 2°C and 1.5°C global warming Research shows

The recent prolonged Siberia heat from January to June 2020 would have been almost impossible without the influence of human-caused climate change, according to a rapid attribution analysis by a team of leading climate scientists. Temperatures were more than 2 °C hotter because of human influence

somewhat below normal except in western Scotland and Shetland. The UK monthly extremes were as follows: A maximum temperature of 16.9 °C was recorded at North Wyke (Devon) on the 1st. A minimum temperature of -9.9 °C was recorded at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on the 19th. In the 24 hours ending at 0900 GMT