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• mo-phenology-supplement-v4pdf

  – “Ash before oak…” The weather (folk)lore phrase: “Ash before oak, we’re in for soak; oak before ash, we’re in for a splash” means that if ash leaves appear before oak leaves in the spring, it is going to be a very rainy summer. However, if oak comes into leaf before ash, there will only be a little bit

• steele_etal_2025_otc_s2.pdf

  , American Geophysical Union, Washington DC (2005), pp. 31-56. Pathak J, Subramanian S, Harrington P, Raja S, Chattopadhyay A, Mardani M, Kurth T, Hall D, Li Z, Azizzadenesheli K, Hassanzadeh P, Kashinath K & Anandkumar A (2022) Fourcastnet: A global data-driven high-resolution weather model using

• steele_etal_2025_otc_s2pdf

  , American Geophysical Union, Washington DC (2005), pp. 31-56. Pathak J, Subramanian S, Harrington P, Raja S, Chattopadhyay A, Mardani M, Kurth T, Hall D, Li Z, Azizzadenesheli K, Hassanzadeh P, Kashinath K & Anandkumar A (2022) Fourcastnet: A global data-driven high-resolution weather model using

• Lionesses victory parade: What to expect from the weather

  hydrated and dressing in light layers will help ensure comfort. Despite the possibility of showers, the Lionesses’ victory parade promises to be a memorable occasion. Fans are encouraged to come prepared for changing weather and to arrive early to secure a good viewing spot. With music, celebration

• uk-gridded-percentiles-asdi-description_final.pdf

  at the latest blend time. We check for new model data every 15 minutes and include it in the blend as it becomes available. For the first 5 days of the forecast, we include data from models that run 24 updates per day. Beyond day 5, we get new model data every 6 hours. This means that the data comes

• western_europe_attribution_june_2022.pdf

  (5W-13E; 38- 52N) and b) assess the role of anthropogenic forcings in the changing likelihood of extreme heatwaves. Extreme events are defined as exceedances of the previous record anomaly of 4.126 0 C (relative to 1901-1930) observed in year 2003. Temperature observations come from the CRUTEM5 1

• uk-gridded-percentiles-asdi-description_finalpdf

  at the latest blend time. We check for new model data every 15 minutes and include it in the blend as it becomes available. For the first 5 days of the forecast, we include data from models that run 24 updates per day. Beyond day 5, we get new model data every 6 hours. This means that the data comes

• an-attribution-study-of-the-uk-mean-temperature-in-year-2022pdf

  of 9.88 0 C observed in year 2014 (or an anomaly of 1.76 0 C relative to 1901-1930). Temperature observations come from the HadUK-Grid dataset (Hollis et al., 2019) and cover the period 1884-2021. The model simulations start at year 1850. The likelihood of extreme temperatures is calculated under

• western_europe_attribution_june_2022pdf

  (5W-13E; 38- 52N) and b) assess the role of anthropogenic forcings in the changing likelihood of extreme heatwaves. Extreme events are defined as exceedances of the previous record anomaly of 4.126 0 C (relative to 1901-1930) observed in year 2003. Temperature observations come from the CRUTEM5 1

• Dull and mild February brings wet winter to a close

  weather. We will see a band of rain cross the country on Thursday, and spells of rain or showers may continue to come and go across Northern Ireland and western Scotland over the coming days. We’re looking at a slightly warmer week, with highs of up to 19°C on Thursday.”   How do we know when records