uk-2022-attribution.pdf
of 9.88 0 C observed in year 2014 (or an anomaly of 1.76 0 C relative to 1901-1930). Temperature observations come from the HadUK-Grid dataset (Hollis et al., 2019) and cover the period 1884-2021. The model simulations start at year 1850. The likelihood of extreme temperatures is calculated under