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Africa near normal conditions were observed in January except for southern Mozambique which was very wet. During February more mixed conditions were observed with parts of southwest South Africa wet, along with northern Mozambique, Malawi and eastern Zambia, whereas southern Mozambique was dry
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of the Boreal spring and into the summer. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https
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- Rainfall Current Status: In western Africa rainfall has been mostly near-normal. The exceptions were Nigeria and Cameroon in October and then Liberia in December which were drier than normal. Ghana and Nigeria were wet or very wet in November. In central Africa rainfall has been mostly near
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, the main exception to this is likely to be over parts of northern South America, where colder than normal conditions are likely – this consistent with impacts from the ongoing La Niña event. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely
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cool, including Syria, Lebanon and Iraq. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are very likely across MENA, increasing the likelihood of heatwaves and heat related impacts. The Caribbean and northern parts of South America are also very likely to experience above normal temperatures. 3-Month Outlook
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normal conditions are very likely across most of the continent. The main exceptions are central India and parts of mainland Southeast Asia where near-normal is most likely. Whilst this outlook suggests a reduced risk of prolonged cold outbreaks into winter across northern parts of the region, cold
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Asia during December and November. In Central Asia, following a very dry November, many areas were wet or very wet in December and January. Mostly normal conditions have been observed over South Asia and China although southeast China was very dry in January. Outlook: Below normal rainfall is likely
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: Rainfall conditions have been mostly normal across Southeast Asia, though Myanmar was wet during April. In Central Asia, normal conditions were observed, although Afghanistan was wet in March with Tajikistan very wet. Mostly normal conditions have been observed over South Asia and China although parts
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and Vietnam where temperatures have been below normal. Outlook: For the next three months, temperatures are likely to remain above normal in many parts of the continent; for parts of Southeast Asia, including Indonesia and the Philippines, temperatures are very likely to be above normal. There are some
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the past 3 months. Outlook: In the next three months, the mature La Niña brings warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in towards the Philippines and New Guinea Island resulting in warmer than normal conditions being very likely across the Philippines, Malaysia and Indonesia. Warmer than normal