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(RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5 and SRESA1B). • Global (60km) projections - a set of 28 climate futures at 60km grid resolution, showing how the 21 st Century climate may evolve under the highest emission scenario, RCP8.5. They assess the uncertainty across different models from different modelling

OFFICIAL Post-processing improves accuracy of artificial intelligence weather forecasts Belinda Trotta ([email protected]), Robert Johnson, Catherine de Burgh-Day, Debra Hudson, Esteban Abellan, James Canvin, Andrew Kelly, Daniel Mentiplay, Benjamin Owen, Jennifer Whelan AIFS accuracy

Additional Land Products: Probabilistic Projections of Climate Extremes (Murphy et al, 2020). 1. What are the Probabilistic Projections of Climate Extremes? The Probabilistic Projections of Climate Extremes provide information on 21 st Century temperature and precipitation extremes across the UK. They use

, RCP6.0, RCP8.5 and SRESA1B). • Global (60km) projections - a set of 28 climate futures at 60km grid resolution, showing how the 21 st Century climate may evolve under the highest emission scenario, RCP8.5. They assess the uncertainty across different models from different modelling centres as well

UKCP Case Study: Climate Change Impacts on Peak River Flows Authors: A.L. Kay 1 , A.C. Rudd 1 , M. Fry 1 , G. Nash 2 & S. Allen 3 1. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (Wallingford) 2. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (Edinburgh) 3. Environment Agency, UK Year of Production: 2021 Target Audience

in the tropical Pacific Niño3.4 region (5°S–5°N, 120°W–170°W). Predicted positive anomalies in the Niño.3.4 region indicated the development of El Niño type conditions, and this was supported by international consensus, co-ordinated by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). El Niño conditions and below

multi-model ensembles of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6, Eyring et al., 2016). In total, the study uses data from 14 models that provide the necessary experiments for event attribution, namely historical simulations extended to the end of the 21 st century with the medium

of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6, Eyring et al., 2016). In total, the study uses data from 14 models that provide the necessary experiments for event attribution, namely historical simulations extended to the end of the 21 st century with the medium emissions scenario SSP2-4.5

attribution, namely historical simulations extended to the end of the 21 st century with the medium emissions scenario SSP2-4.5 (ALL; Riahi et al., 2017) and simulations with natural forcings only (NAT) to year 2020. Each model provides several simulations for each experiment and there are in total 87 ALL

recorded in the UK was 38.5°C, at Faversham on 10 August 2003. Using the average daily maximum temperature it is the second hottest July on record for England, with only 2006’s average daily maximum temperature of 25.2°C being higher than the current provisional figure of 24.8°C. Wales’s figure stands