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, with the greatest decreases in the south (Fig 4.4.4). So, although the intensity of rainfall is increasing across the UK in most ensemble members (Fig 4.4.5), the frequency changes may dominate the change in the 2-year return level. This explains why the S-UK in JJA shows decreases, which

Technical Note Fire probability in South American Protected Areas, Brazilian Settlements and Rural Properties in the Brazilian Amazon December 2020 – February 2021 South American authors: Liana O. Anderson, João B. C. dos Reis, Ana Carolina M. Pessôa, Nathália S. Carvalho, Celso Silva Junior, Haron

step towards a future km-scale global ensemble forecast system. www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2023, Met Office UK regional NWP • Retire UKV forecasts beyond the T+12 “NWP nowcast”. • Upgrade to 1.5km resolution UK ensemble forecasts. • Introduce 300m resolution regional ensemble(s) to improve

their resting places and they flew off, you cannot use that to make any farming decisions.” Young farmer, Uganda. Listen to radio: Before 9am, when they go to the farm and 7- 9pm when relaxing after work Audience profiles Female pastoralist preparing for migration: Lorgum , Turkana Kenya s Profile

(2022), Update to UKCP18 probabilistic projections, Met Office. Available from https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/guidancescience-reports. Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, van Vuuren DP, Carter TR, Emori S, Kainuma M, Kram T, Meehl GA, Mitchell JFB

. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma- Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J. B. R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M. I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press. To relate carbon emissions to eventual warming, two measures are defined

in writing from ICIMOD. The views and interpretations in this publication are those of the author(s). They are not attributable to ICIMOD or the Met Office, and do not imply the expression of any opinion concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area of its authorities

the day and by month. • Wind Roses NGR: are 5077 E available 1767 N for speed and ALTITUDE: direction 25 metres AMSLdistributions. SEASON: ANNUAL Period of data: Jan 2007 − Dec 2016 N 20 15 10 5 W % E S 86,476 OBSERVATIONS 0.0% CALM 0.0% VARIABLE 1−10 11−16 17−27 28−33 >33 Hourly mean wind speed

collaboratio ns with businesses at global, regional and national levels contributing to the implementat ion of NMHS’s programmes Number of EWS Number of forecasts or warnings issued 10% 50% by 2023 30% At least 60% Data Source Survey of Living conditi ons Survey finding s Data Collection Methods

of scheduling the route. Suffolk farmer Phil Stott pours milk on his daughter’s cereal, with Met Office forecaster and BBC broadcast meteorologist Rob McElwee also in full flow on Radio 4’s morning bulletin. Will today stay dry enough to plant the bottom field? Specialist OpenRoad weather services