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these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual

expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model

previously. This paper is the third in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer the following questions. What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period; what are the potential drivers

the status of the corporate Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) as the end of the financial year approached; the Board agreed a technical change to KPI 1.3 on diversity should be made for staff, but not Executive performance measures. The Board asked about the corporate strategy review in the light

and eastern/central Scotland. Southeast of this boundary, it will remain very warm to hot and humid, with a small chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. Winds will be light to moderate. Tuesday night will be mostly dry with variable cloud. Central and southeastern England will start clear but may

→ handles missing data automatically. Parallelizable → efficient on large datasets. Handles classification and regression tasks. Spatial Comparisons Time Series Predicted vs Actual Indicates underprediction during heavier rainfall events. Good agreement in light to moderate precipitation. XGBoost

chill effect Poor visibility High Likelihood No Likelihood High Likelihood Thunderstorms Heavy persistent rain Strong sunlight No Likelihood High Likelihood No Likelihood Weather and chance of precipitation at 800m Time 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00 Heavy Rain Light rain Fog Heavy Rain Heavy

Weather Ships (OWS) MET/2/4/1/2/d Harbours and Piers MET/2/4/1/2/e Light Vessels MET/2/4/1/3 Upper Air MET/2/4/1/3/a Tephigrams MET/2/4/1/3/b Upper Air Tables MET/2/4/1/3/c Upper Air Data MET/2/4/1/3/d Met Reconnaissance Flights MET/2/4/2 Data Display MET/2/4/2/1 DWR / DWS MET/2/4/2/2 DWR Supplements MET

-colour traffic light system for all its forecasts and hazard warnings related to weather conditions on Lake Victoria: Green – No hazard warnings in force. It is safe for small craft to navigate on the lake. Amber – Be prepared Potentially dangerous weather and water conditions are expected. Small

the afternoon, but these will be fairly light and fairly well scattered. And there should be a bit more in the way of sunshine between those showers, particularly compared to what we saw on Sunday. “The sun's still strong at this time of year. This is where we do see that sunshine, it will be feeling