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and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook – Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: It has been predominately warm or hot over the past three months. The most notable exception to this has been in southern Angola where it has been consistently

driver for rainfall patterns over Africa over the next three months. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, though there is an increased chance compared to normal of a negative IOD event developing over the next couple of months. The combined influence of La Niña and the potential negative IOD

been hot over the past three months while more mixed conditions were observed over South America with cool conditions for Colombia and western Venezuela. Hot conditions prevailed over MENA though during August normal temperatures returned over Syria and Iraq. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions

– Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Over the last three months much of West Africa has been hot. In central and eastern Africa conditions were generally normal or hot, with exceptions including Sudan

of the regional averaging (e.g. over the UK, river basin and administrative regions) in Tables 4 and 5 below. Dataset Description Emissions Time Domain scenarios Period Time mean sea level at 12 km Projections of future changes in sea water level RCP2.6 RCP4.5 2007- 2100 UK coastline RCP8.5 Storm surge

, temperatures were near-normal over the past three months. Parts of northwest Africa were hot in June and the Levant was cool during July. The Caribbean and southern Europe were mostly hot over the last three months. Outlook: It is likely or much more likely to be warmer than normal in the MENA

has been hot over the past three months, while more mixed conditions were observed over South America with cool conditions for Colombia and western Venezuela. Warm or hot conditions have prevailed over MENA for much of the July to September period although temperatures in Syria, Iraq, Morocco

: Across much of the MENA region, the Caribbean and the British Overseas Territories temperatures were hot over the last three months, with a couple of exceptions. Though hot in December and January, away from coastal regions, parts of North Africa were normal or cold during February

and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Seasonal Outlook – Temperature Global Seasonal Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Global: October to July MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Over the last

by atmospheric conditions supplied by the ERAI analysis. During the forecast, the ocean and sea ice are externally forced by fluxes derived from the NWP analysis. In particular, surface heat flux over sea ice and the conductive flux through the ice are derived under the assumption of 2m thick ice