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Assurance Group, Exeter, 15 th September 2015 PWSCG 35 th Meeting, Heathrow Airport, 21 st October 2015 PWSCG Northern Ireland, Belfast, 11 th November 2015 PWSCG 36 th Meeting, BIS, 27 th January 2016 PWSCG 37 th Meeting, tbc, 27 th April 2016 Action Action: Secretariat to circulate to members

-impact low-likelihood scenarios: scenario report 7 HILL-1 Enhanced global warming 1. Description Climate change leads to an increase in global average temperature considerably greater than 4 o C by the end of the 21 st century. There are three potential reasons why global average warming might

, SCIPEA Project Lead [email protected] Supported by: Fund Manager: Delivery Partners: 18 Annex 3 Kenya Meteorological Department Seasonal weather forecast for October, November, and December 2016 Rainy season in Siaya County Name(s) of climatic zone(s) 1 and 2 Onset: 3 rd and 4 th week

is a blend of the forecast and a forward projection of the current observed weather. It produces a deterministic forecast (i.e. without a probability value), and is the source of most forecast lightning over the next 6 hours. o All other thresholds have a weather value (e.g. Wind = 25 m/s

bidders whose application was received before the deadline. Submission is not a guarantee of funding. Information Sharing You acknowledge and agree that all or any part of your Bid submission(s) may be shared with independent consultants external to the Met Office, and may also be shared with FCDO

., 2007. The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philos. Trans. A. Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 365, 2053–2075. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2076. Velázquez, J.A., Schmid, J., Ricard, S., Muerth, M.J., Gauvin St-Denis, B., Minville, M., Chaumont, D., Caya, D., Ludwig

, bias and standard deviation from model wind speed comparison with Cersat merged satellite altimeter dataset © Crown copyright 2011 26 wind speeds up to 20m/s and over-predicts thereafter (above the 99 th percentile). It is noted that the QQ relationship for Ws in Figure 5 is more linear

the information contained in the F215? Have you checked possible diversion airfield(s) along your track as well as your destination? Are they suitable? METAR EGSC 110650Z NIL= METAR EGGW 110650Z AUTO 16004KT 2900 BR OVC003 09/09 Q1018= METAR EGTK 110650Z 16005KT 2500 BR OVC005 10/10 Q1018= METAR

areas of the south, but northern areas were generally cooler. Cambridge saw the highest temperature of the year so far on 12 August with 34.8°C recorded. Summer in a changing climate Summer 2024’s average mean temperature of 14.37°C for the UK is considered ‘cooler’ when compared to the 1991-2020

Challenges in Predicting Weather & Climate over India: Developments and Improvements Ravi S Nanjundiah Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology Pune India [email protected] Outline •Background •Challenges for Weather/Climate Services for India •What is achieved and ongoing •Future Areas