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. Across the Caribbean above normal temperatures are very likely. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Climate Outlook Global: June to March Overview 3 MENA

are likely or very likely to be warmer than normal during the next three months. However, southern parts of Central America and northern South America are likely to be near-normal. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely

improve in the southwest during the afternoon. Here, it will become drier as the day progresses. Winds will be breezy at times, particularly in the west, but it will feel mild away from the far north. Temperatures are expected to be notably mild or even locally very mild across much of the UK, especially

high temperatures.” “An active tropical cyclone season in the North Atlantic is helping to amplify the pattern across the North Atlantic, and has pushed the jet stream well to the north of the UK, allowing some very warm air to be drawn north. It’s a marked contrast to the much of meteorological

of the Sahel and parts of southern Sudan, where cooler than normal temperatures are more likely. Normal temperatures are likely across South Africa, southern Namibia and Botswana, plus Lesotho and Eswatini. Warmer than normal conditions are very likely for countries close to the Gulf of Guinea coast

. This is likely the result of the recent El Nino event. The monsoon season has since been normal to wet. For instance, Nepal, Bangladesh and western Myanmar were very wet in June. On the whole, China and Central Asia have been wetter than normal over the last three months, more so in April. 3-Month

. Otherwise, above normal temperatures were experienced for most other areas. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely across most areas increasing the risk of heatwaves and heat-related impacts. The main exception over parts of India, where below normal is likely due

the driest and the 100th percentile being the wettest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Green and dark green shading represent values above the 80th (Wet) and 90th (Very Wet) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark brown indicate rainfall below the 20th (Dry) and 10th (Very Dry) percentile

. The Caribbean region and northern South America experienced dry conditions. Outlook: Across the MENA, rainfall amounts are typically very low, with no significant departures from climatology likely in the comin g months. In contrast, some southern parts of the Arabian Peninsula see an increase in rainfall

: Consistent with a warming climate, above average temperatures are very likely across the continent. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: August to January Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status