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and Central Africa - it was wet across parts of the Sahel in May and June, returning to near-normal in July. Many parts of Eastern Africa had near-normal or dry conditions in May and July, and wet or very wet conditions in June. Many parts of Southern Africa were wet or very wet in May, with more mixed

to 10°N) regions. Probabilities are for 5 categories referred to as: very dry, dry, average, wet and very wet. The category boundaries are defined from 1961-1990 observations, such that the climatological probability for each category in that period is by definition 0.2 (20%). The strongest forecast

conditions were mostly observed across much of MENA between July and September. The main exceptions were for Eritrea and some western parts of Yemen which were very wet during August. Parts of the Caribbean Region were wet during August before widely dry conditions were observed in September

was very wet in October, otherwise the Caribbean region has seen near normal or dry conditions for the past three months. Venezuela was dry over the past three months, while Colombia was more mixed. Outlook: Apart from Yemen, this is the wettest time of year for the MENA. For coastal regions

are likely or very likely to be warmer than normal during the next three months. However, southern parts of Central America and northern South America are likely to be near-normal. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely

. Across the Caribbean above normal temperatures are very likely. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Climate Outlook Global: June to March Overview 3 MENA

of the Sahel and parts of southern Sudan, where cooler than normal temperatures are more likely. Normal temperatures are likely across South Africa, southern Namibia and Botswana, plus Lesotho and Eswatini. Warmer than normal conditions are very likely for countries close to the Gulf of Guinea coast

. This is likely the result of the recent El Nino event. The monsoon season has since been normal to wet. For instance, Nepal, Bangladesh and western Myanmar were very wet in June. On the whole, China and Central Asia have been wetter than normal over the last three months, more so in April. 3-Month

. Otherwise, above normal temperatures were experienced for most other areas. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely across most areas increasing the risk of heatwaves and heat-related impacts. The main exception over parts of India, where below normal is likely due

. The Caribbean region and northern South America experienced dry conditions. Outlook: Across the MENA, rainfall amounts are typically very low, with no significant departures from climatology likely in the comin g months. In contrast, some southern parts of the Arabian Peninsula see an increase in rainfall