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on the 26th, and cold and unsettled weather continued during the last few days with lying snow penetrating to low levels in some counties. The provisional UK mean temperature was 4.3 °C, which is 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term average. Mean maximum temperatures were about 0.5 °C below average

will decrease. We’ll still have cold days, but features like lying snow will become an increasing rarity, especially in southern England. “Between 1991 and 2019 a wide swathe of southern England could expect maximum temperatures on the coldest winter day to be on average between 0.0 °C and 2.0 °C. However

precipitation falls as snow and how much as hail. In turn, this could affect other variables (e.g. the amount of lying snow which leads to colder winter temperatures). We find that fixing the error can lead to differences that are significant, i.e. when the differences are larger than the spread (i.e

Warnings to be issued. This changeable theme is fairly typical for UK winters and looks set to continue beyond mid week with the jet stream lying across the UK. This will bring further spells of wet and windy weather followed by sunshine and showers and temperatures will vary with spells of cold air

in Wales and the south, although again most of any lying snow will be over hills.” Showers in the south will often be accompanied by strong winds, while there is a risk of overnight ice across the north and west especially tonight and Tuesday nights. It could turn more generally wet again later in the week

Lying at 0900 UTC 01 0.0 8.4 - - 02 0.0 6.6 - - 03 0.0 6.9 - - 04 0.0 9.0 - - 05 0.0 6.3 - - 06 0.0 9.2 - - 07 0.0 9.0 - - 08 tr 7.1 - - 09 tr 4.5 - - 10 0.0 4.4 - - 11 3.4 7.5 - - 12 2.8 11.1 - - 13 2.4 9.6 - - 14 1.4 8.4 - - 15 12.6 1 10.0 - - 16 tr 12.6 - - 17 0.0 8.5 - - 18 0.0 6.9 - - 19 1.4 4.6

the south or southwest. If this solution proves to be correct, we could see an area of warmer and moisture-laden air ‘bumping’ into the cold air further north. Along the boundary of the two air masses lies a zone across southern and central Britain where snowfall could develop fairly widely. “Snow

down the east coast causing severe flooding across many low-lying areas of East Anglia and the Thames Estuary. It was a cold day generally with temperatures well below the late January average. Significant weather event The Stranraer to Larne ferry boat ‘Princess Victoria’ foundered with the loss

forecast to move into south west Scotland on Sunday and then spread north and as temperatures rise following recent cold conditions, rain and thaw of lying snow from Sunday onwards will increase the risk of flooding. Possible impacts could include flooding of low lying land, roads and individual

extent lies towards the top end of all these central ranges (Figure 5), a fact likely to reflect the abrupt slowing of ice melt late in the season. However, the median estimate did increase somewhat as the season progressed, becoming closer to the observed extent. Figure 5: Arctic sea ice extent