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August 2018 - A new study suggests climate sensitivity may be larger and more uncertain than previously thought.

, because if the past warming trend is different to what we might expect in the future, then climate sensitivity, estimated from the observed historical record, may not apply to the future. A new study, led by Dr Timothy Andrews of the Met Office Hadley Centre, along with an international team

Thursday will bring a continuation of unsettled conditions across the UK. The far northwest, particularly northwest Scotland, will see the most active weather, with spells of rain and strong winds, potentially reaching gale or even severe gale force at times. These conditions may lead to some

Factor: 0.9996 Latitude Of Origin: 49.0000 Units: Meter BARNET LONDON BORO The scale ratio stated is accurate when reproduced at A1 size by Met Office Safeguarding. Any other reproduction by conventional or electronic means e.g. printing from a PDF, may alter the scale of the map. Please check

developing, most likely in Wales and parts of southern England, whilst elsewhere during this whole period, dry, fine, and increasingly warm conditions are expected.  “Should these thunderstorms develop, especially on Monday, there is potential for 25-35mm of rain to fall in an hour or so which may lead

has felt much milder for the last week or so but this weekend it will get much colder again. And that may come as a shock to the system for some whose bodies may struggle to cope in cold weather. "It’s worth remembering that cold temperatures – indoors and outdoors - can affect health, particularly

A quick guide for Tactical Managers on weather and flood products The purpose of this quick guide is to list the weather and flood products available to tactical managers involved in the incident response to flood emergencies. Your response role may be solely within your respective organisations

of England, where rain may freeze as it falls onto frozen surfaces. Met Office Chief Forecaster Steve Willington said: “Following the hill snow and freezing weather of the last couple of days we are expecting more rain and snow to bring some travel problems on Friday. “The snow should be over areas further

Heavy showers and thunderstorms will impact parts of the UK at the start of this week, a Yellow severe weather warning is in force for Wales, north western England and eastern Scotland through to midnight tonight. Where these showers and thunderstorms develop some places may see 30 to 40mm of rain

block drains or culverts and, with the heavy rainfall expected over Friday and Saturday, could well heighten the potential for flooding. There is also a risk that the high winds associated with Storm Callum, combined with high tides, may lead to some coastal impacts due to large waves.” The strongest

it will remain cold and possibly very cold for a time. This will bring potentially widespread overnight frosts, which could be locally severe in any longer clear spells. With cold air across the UK there is a greater risk of snow at lower levels at times. However, some milder and wetter interludes may