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• PowerPoint Presentation

  . Indian Ocean Diploe (IOD) – The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently in its negative phase – warm sea surface temperature anomalies in the east of the basin and cool anomalies in the west. A negative IOD increases in the likelihood of drier than normal conditions across East Africa, with a poor

• PowerPoint Presentation

  observed at times across parts of the Indian sub-continent, some regions of China and northern parts of Indonesia. Elsewhere, rainfall was mostly near normal. Outlook: Both the South and East Asian monsoons are more likely to be active than not as they retreat south over the coming season

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . Elsewhere, temperatures were normal. Outlook: Much more likely to be warmer than normal. 3-Month Outlook July to September - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global

• PowerPoint Presentation

  parts of maritime Southeast Asia were wet or very wet between February and April, while conditions were more mixed over the rest of South and East Asia. Central Asia climatologically has a peak in precipitation during March. Here conditions were mixed, with northern Afghanistan wet or very wet during

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . The impacts of La Niña are expected to be far reaching and the latest output from long-range prediction models are consistent in replicating the La Niña state and some of its favoured impacts. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g. East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions in parts of East Africa, southern Europe, southern USA, and parts of South America and East Asia. However, no two events are the same, as the effects of El Niño combine with other drivers of weather and climate variability (such as the Indian Ocean Dipole) and other local geophysical factors

• PowerPoint Presentation

  in favouring above normal rainfall in parts of East Africa. However, these positive sea surface temperature anomalies are unlikely to be sustained and IOD events typically don’t form at this time of year. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook

• volcanicash-nephanalysis-1489496469issue.pdf

  Volcanic Ash – 1230 UTC annotated satellite image Issued 1300 UTC on Tue 14 Mar 2017 HIGH CONFIDENCE- Ash plume clearly discernible to the east of Katla. IMO radar observations report ash plume at 18km. © Crown copyright Met Office

• wiser_concepts_stage-1_eastafrica.pdf

  OFFICIAL Concept and Proposal – Concept Stage 1 Part one – Information only WISER (Weather and Climate Information Services) Africa Programme REGION: EAST AFRICA REFERENCE: W3_GRT22_CONCEPT_EAST (DN631514) Estimated Value: £300,000 - £1,500,000 (Three Hundred Thousand to One Million Five Hundred

• mena-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

  regions. Regional level risks affecting Bahrain include heat stress (see 4.3) and coastal impacts (see 4.4). Egypt Egypt is located on the Mediterranean and Red Sea coast in the north-east of North Africa and is included in Zone 2 (see 3.3.2). Most people live along the River Nile and Nile Delta