to land. However, identifying when a cyclone is going to rapidly intensify is one of the biggest challenges in tropical cyclone research as some of the fundamental processes in cyclone intensification are poorly understood. Researchers in the WCSSP Southeast Asia project are studying how changes
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seasonal forecast system. Her latest research has focussed on tropical cyclone landfall variability and predictability for the United States, Caribbean and Southeast Asia. Her research has shown that the Met Office seasonal forecast system exhibits significant skill for predictions of tropical
plan has been developed for Nepal with the aim to test the enhanced national seasonal forecast product during the October to December 2021 and December to February 2021/22 seasons. Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA) - work package 3 Developing gridded climate
Forecast for the July to September wet season.
Forecast areas The Sahel The Sahel is the transitional semi-arid region of North Africa south of the Sahara desert between 12.5°N and 17.5°N. Its inhabitants are sensitive to rainfall amounts in the wet season (typically July to September), with droughts causing significant hardship. Rainfall
Forecasts for the north-east part of Brazil between 0° S to 10° S and east of 50° W for the February to May wet season.
The wet season is between February and May with considerable year-to-year and decade-to-decade variability. The forecasts are produced using a combination of dynamical forecast models and statistical predictions and include predictions of the most likely of five rainfall categories (very wet, wet
The tropical climate of the Maldives results in hot temperatures all year round, but the monsoonal seasons dramatically affect the amount of rainfall through the year.
Maldives weather averages and climate Located near the equator, the Maldives enjoy a tropical climate this is consistently hot and often humid all year round, but with distinct wet and dry seasons. Between December and April rainfall amounts are at their lowest, accompanied with the longest hours
The South Asian summer monsoon directly affects the lives of around one billion people, providing 80% of annual rainfall in the region.
1970 Asia has been hit by more than 5000 natural disasters. In India, and indeed across most of South Asia, many of the natural hazards are related to the weather and climate of the South Asian monsoon. Forecasting the precise timing and location of the rains is vital to the region's economy, which
but probabilities of a wetter season than last year and of 10-year extremes are presented. A wetter season than 2018 is favoured in most boxes east of 30E and between 10N and 10S. Elsewhere a drier season than 2018 is likely in most grid boxes. Probabilities of a season drier than any in the past 10 years (2009
per day. Wet season (June to November / summer and autumn) June to November is the wet season and is often characterised by heavy showers and thunderstorms. The Atlantic hurricane season exists between these months, and Jamaica is just as vulnerable as its neighbouring islands. Hurricanes tend
scientists conduct attribution studies to identify if climate change has altered the likelihood or intensity of extreme events, as well as provide an insight into similar events around the world in the future. Climate dynamics and predictability Events such as El Niño and the East Asian Summer