Aviation Performance and Consultations

Consultations

The Met Office User’s Forum (MOUF) is held annually on behalf of the CAA, and serves as the main consultation platform for UK aviation stakeholders. Open to organisations using Met Office aviation products, it includes representatives from the CAA, airfield operators, airline associations, airlines, and air traffic service providers. Attendees discuss aviation meteorological services, including national and international provisions.

NR23 outlines the Met Office’s proposed aviation plans for 2023–2027. Held every five years in agreement with the CAA, the consultation ensures our services meet industry needs. The 2023 meeting included presentations and discussions, with feedback helping shape our plans for the next five years. The consultation is aimed at those flying in UK airspace and paying the en-route charge.

Stay informed about our consultations by following our LinkedIn Aviation page or contact us at [email protected] for questions or further information.

Forecast Performance

Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) Verification Reports

We provide monthly CAA Verification Reports, assessing Timeliness of short-term landing forecasts (TRENDS), Global Model performance, and Accuracy of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAF) accuracy. Metrics ensure accuracy, timeliness, and compliance, supporting safe aviation decisions. Performance is monitored against CAA-agreed KPIs, reported monthly, and reviewed quarterly.

CAA Verification Reports

• June 2024
• July 2024
• August 2024
• September 2024
• October 2024
• November 2024
• December 2024
• January 2025
• February 2025
• March 2025
• April 2025
• May 2025

NATS Low Visibility Procedure (LVP) Matrix

We help Air Traffic Service (ATS) units manage airport capacity with advance forecasts of low visibility and cloud base. Our risk-based LVP forecasts cover many airports, with Verification Reports summarising occurrences at six key locations. Based on forecasts issued 12 hours ahead and early morning updates, the report is updated annually by 30 June. 

• LVP Verification Report - 2024-2025

An example of an LVP verification report

Understanding the LVP Verification Report

• The shaded area shows where forecast LVP risk levels match expected event frequency.
• A plotted line represents risk probability against observed LVP frequency.
• If the line stays within the shaded area, it appears green in the table.
• If the line falls outside, it appears yellow, indicating under- or over-forecasting.