Met Office daily weather: More changeable weather on the way

The weather over the next 48 hours looks set to be changeable with a mixture of sunshine and showers across the country.

Tuesday will bring a continuation of changeable conditions across western parts of the UK, with cloud and outbreaks of rain or drizzle moving eastwards through the morning. The heaviest rainfall is expected over west-facing high ground, particularly across Wales, northern England, and southwest Scotland, where it may be persistent at times.

Eastern areas, especially those to the lee of high ground, will see drier and brighter spells, with southern regions more generally enjoying improved conditions as the day progresses. Northern Scotland will experience a mix of showery rain and brighter intervals, while breezy conditions will persist, particularly in areas downwind of hills.

Temperatures will vary significantly across the country. The northwest will feel rather cool, while central, eastern, and southeastern England may see very warm and humid conditions, with highs reaching 23–25°C, and possibly 26°C in isolated spots, depending on cloud breaks and convective development.

Overnight, a band of low cloud and patchy drizzle will drift slowly southwards across central parts of the UK. Clear spells are expected to the north, with a few showers, while southern areas may also see some breaks in cloud, particularly to the lee of hills.

Temperatures will remain above average, with a warm night across England and Wales, where minimums may stay in the mid-teens, and locally around 17°C.

Outlook for Wednesday

Wednesday will begin largely cloudy, with limited bright or sunny breaks, mainly to the lee of high ground. Outbreaks of rain and drizzle will continue, particularly along southern and western coasts and hills, where sea mist and hill fog may make conditions murky.

As the day progresses, cloud is expected to lift and break, especially across eastern areas, allowing for some sunshine. Scotland and Northern Ireland may see a few scattered showers, while southeast England faces an increasing risk of elevated showers and thunderstorms, particularly into the evening. Further areas of rain may also develop in the west later in the day.

Temperatures will be around to slightly above average in the north, and very warm and humid in the south, with the southeast potentially turning hot. Winds will be mostly light, contributing to the humid feel.

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Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Aidan McGivern, said: “As we begin Tuesday, a sign of something a little more humid returning with this warm front moving into western parts of the country by dawn, bringing extensive cloud cover and outbreaks of persistent rain across parts of Scotland, Northern England, Wales, the southwest, and Northern Ireland. The rain during the morning tends to fizzle. It’s always going to be wettest over western hills, drier towards the south and east, and brightening up slowly into the afternoon, some sunshine reappearing through south and east Wales, the Midlands, East Anglia, and the south. Some brightness there for northern Scotland as well, albeit with some showers. Feeling cool in the north but warmer and more humid to the south.

“And the dividing line between the more humid air to the south, the cooler, more changeable weather to the north—it’s this cold front. And really, that sets the scene for the rest of the week. We’re going to see this north-south contrast: staying cool and changeable in the north, often more humid towards the south with some sunshine at times. And this dividing line will ebb and flow north-south across the country because that’s where the jet stream will be sitting.

“On Wednesday, we start the day with some sunshine in the far southeast and across parts of Scotland and northern England, but a few showers here and there. More extensive cloud through Wales, the Midlands, some outbreaks of rain during the morning easing into the afternoon. And look at the temperature contrast again—high teens, low 20s in the north, but 27, 28 Celsius towards the southeast and feeling very humid once again. And that high humidity could lead to the development of some thunderstorms across northern France drifting towards southeast England.

“The exact track of these thunderstorms on Wednesday evening, early hours of Thursday, open to doubt at the moment. There’s every chance that they will hit the southeast of England and bring some impacts, but if they just go in slightly more of an east direction, then they’ll miss southeast England entirely. That’s something we’re going to be keeping a track of over the next couple of days.”

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