Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2022
A summary of tropical cyclone activity in the Northern Hemisphere for the 2022 season together with an assessment of the performance of the Met Office global model in predicting the track and intensity of these tropical cyclones.
Click on the name of the tropical cyclone to see a chart of the observed track and forecast tracks from the Met Office global model. Verification statistics on each tropical cyclone are available upon request from [email protected]. At the end of the season a verification report on the performance of the Met Office global model will be published.
| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central pressure, 1-/10-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30-31 March | 1005 mb, 30/- knots | 01W was short-lived tropical depression. | |
| Malakas (02W) | 07-15 April | 950 mb, 115/85 knots | Track forecast errors were lower than the recent mean for this storm. There was a slight slow bias for longer lead times. |
| Megi (03W) | 09-12 April | 998 mb, 40/35 knots | Megi was short-lived as a tropical storm. |
North-west observed tracks in 2022
| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central pressure, 1-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central Pressure, 1-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
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North-east and Central North Pacific observed tracks in 2022
Tropical cyclone names (North-east Pacific)
Tropical cyclone names (Central North Pacific)
| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central pressure, 1-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
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North Atlantic observed tracks in 2022
| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central pressure, 1-/3-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 March | 996 mb, 35/30 knots | 01B briefly attained 35 knot 1-minute sustained winds according to JTWC. | |
| * Shaheen developed from the remnants of Gulab. Treating as two storms as did IMD, but JTWC used the same identifier. | |||
North Indian observed tracks in 2022
| Name & ID | Start & end dates | Central pressure, 1-/10-minute MSW | Comments on Met Office global model forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|
Note, there is no official warning agency for Mediterranean tropical or subtropical cyclones, so identifiers are assigned by the Met Office to facilitate tracking and forecast verification.
Mediterranean observed tracks in 2022
Note on estimated wind speeds
1-minute MSW: Maximum sustained wind (knots) averaged over 1 minute (JTWC Hawaii, NHC Miami, CPHC Hawaii)
3-minute MSW: Maximum sustained wind (knots) averaged over 3 minutes (IMD New Delhi)
10-minute MSW: Maximum sustained wind (knots) averaged over 10 minutes (JMA Japan)
Note: Although 1-minute average winds should be stronger than 3-/10-minute averages, this may not be the case here since estimates are obtained from different warning centres using different analysis techniques.
