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variability and climate change as these are expected to be of similar size in many parts of the world over this forecast period. Forecasts are experimental, so at this early stage of development expert advice is needed to assess the reliability of regional predictions. Important Long-range forecasts

WCSSP Southeast Asia funding opportunities September 2019 www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2018 Met Office Work Package 1: Global scale science and modelling SEA/1 Impact of ENSO on TC tracks/intensity and/or predictability More than 90% of the heavy precipitation events in summer over

characteristics of the East Asian Summer Monsoon compared to regional scale models, including the daily cycle of rainfall across many regions of China. Li et al (2019) focussed on an event in 2016 where 600mm of rainfall fell over parts of eastern China in just 6 days leading to catastrophic flooding

and wind speed from many historical records, including old ship logbooks found over the last 200+ years, and terrestrial and marine expeditions, voyages and station series. This newly acquired data is then being fed into large international weather datasets which enable the production of high

for changes to rainfall in the future. UK observations The latest State of the UK Climate report indicates the UK has become wetter over the last few decades, although with significant annual variation. 2011-2020 was 9% wetter than 1961-1990. The change in rainfall depends on location – for example

over the study region. The regional climate, known as PRECIS, was then run 130 years from 1970. The analyses primarily focus on maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall over the region. For the Tamil Nadu as a whole, the projections of maximum temperature show an increase of 1.0, 2.2 and 3.1 °C

lateral boundary conditions from six members that represent a range of climate variations over the study region. The regional climate, known as PRECIS, was then run 130 years from 1970. The analyses primarily focus on maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall over the region. For the Tamil Nadu

and gales to UK The first named storm of the season, Storm Angus, brought heavy rain and severe gales to the UK from 19 -20 November 2016. This image from NASA's TERRA satellite is from the morning of 20 November and shows Storm Angus over the North Sea and Eastern parts of the UK. Much of Scotland

Record breaking heat and sunshine - July 2006 July 2006 was the warmest month on record over much of the UK and the sunniest over parts of England. Many station and areal records were broken, mainly for July but some were for any month. Notably, in the monthly Central England Temperature series

) in Eastern Africa. GHACOF aims to provide seasonal climate information to different stakeholders/sectors over the region for informed decision-making processes. The forum brings together national, regional and international climate experts as well as decision makers and information users on an operational