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to April Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Over the past three months, in West Africa rainfall was mostly near-normal though Cameroon and Nigeria were dry or very dry in August and September. DRC was very dry over the last three months

and April. In Southeast Asia, many areas were wet or very wet during February to April. Outlook: Over the next three months India, Pakistan, Nepal and Bangladesh are likely to be wetter than normal due to a more active South Asian monsoon. There are also indications of an earlier than normal onset

to cold, locally very cold spread to other parts of southern and eastern Asia, particularly India, Indochina and southern and eastern China. Much of central Asia continued to experience warm to hot temperatures through much of May. Outlook: Over the next three months, the majority of the continent

and May, and very locally in June. Outlook: Consistent with La Niña conditions, many areas are much more likely to experience above normal temperatures over the next three months; in particular, Indonesia and Southeast Asia. Near-normal conditions are likely across parts of India. 3-Month Outlook

exception to this is likely to be over parts of northern South America, where colder than normal conditions are likely – this is consistent with impacts from the ongoing La Niña event. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely

areas are likely to be warmer, or very likely to be warmer than normal through the next three months. However, parts of Central America and northern South America are likely to be colder than normal. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely

, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts Indian Ocean

October 2020 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. October began very unsettled, with Storm Alex bringing rain and strong winds to much of England and Wales on the 2nd, and a very wet day followed for much of the UK on the 3rd. From the 4th to 13th it remained

) regions. Probabilities are for 5 categories referred to as: very dry, dry, average, wet and very wet. The category boundaries are defined from 1961-1990 observations, such that the climatological probability for each category in that period is by definition 0.2 (20%). The strongest forecast signal

Provisional Met Office statistics show that England enjoyed its sunniest March since records began in 1910, with many individual counties also topping their sunshine duration records. It was also the UK’s third sunniest March on record, and Wales’ second.   It was also a very dry month, with only