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temperatures at times, with some of these areas being cool or cold. Temperatures in Madagascar were below normal in April and June. Outlook: Consistent with a warming climate, warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely across much of the continent. There are some exceptions, mainly across

A hybrid physical-ML model? Ian Boutle, Mohit Dalvi, José Rodríguez, Martin Willett, Stephen Haddad, Tom Melvin, Matthew Chantry (ECMWF), Cyril Morcrette, Simon Vosper www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2025, Met Office Where we are currently • AI/ML models are very fast • They are becoming

Temperatures will remain very high for much of the UK over the next few days, likely peaking during the period Wednesday to Saturday with 32 to 33°C likely across parts of the south and southeast, though there’s an increasing signal for a thundery breakdown for some. There’s a chance the highest

was the lowest on record at 14.42 million square km. • The low extent is associated with very mild Arctic winter temperatures, caused by frequent southerly winds around the ice edges in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors, and enhanced storm activity at high latitudes. • Ice thickness at the end

were warmer than normal over the last three months. Outlook: For the next three months, below normal temperatures are likely for India. Near-normal temperatures are likely for many parts of Indochina. Otherwise, above normal temperatures are likely or very likely for most areas. 3-Month Outlook May

conditions are very likely across most of the continent, increasing the risk of heatwaves and related impacts. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: May to February Overview 3 Asia

and 27th resulted in a very cold end to the month, with wintry showers on high ground and also locally to low levels on the 27th. The provisional UK mean temperature was 9.6 °C, which is 0.1 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term average. For most regions, mean maximum temperatures were a little above

July 2018 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. The first half of July was dominated by high pressure and the first week in particular was very warm or hot, dry and sunny over a large majority of the country. The second week was similar but not generally as hot

are very likely across most of these areas. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: June to March Overview 3 MENA, Caribbean

identical to that recorded in 2007 and very close also to that of 2016. It is 2.07 million square km below the 1981-2010 average and 0.77 million square km above the record low extent of 3.39 million square km, which occurred in 2012. It is very close to the long-term linear trend in September minima, which