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Improving seasonal forecast services for resilience

          South Asia is a varied and complex region that is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Monsoons are a dominant feature of the season here, with the region typically experiencing a pre-monsoon, the Southwest summer monsoon, post-monsoon and the Northeast winter monsoon

mining_case_studies.pdf

supercomputers at a final resolution of 100 m over vast areas of jungle. We also generated historical 10-15 year datasets along the proposed railroads, using several verification methods to provide complex interpretations of storm duration and frequency during dry and wet seasons. The result

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-nina/enso-impacts . For the next three months and consistent with a typical La Niña influence, Asia, southern Africa and northern parts of South America are likely to be wetter than normal. Conversely, conditions are likely to be drier than normal for southern North America, southern South America

02427 Central Asia climate infographic-v4

changes, and vary geographically. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan are unlikely to become significantly wetter on average, but there is medium confidence for wetter winter and spring months in higher elevation Central Asia (eastern Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, northern Afghanistan

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of South America, as well as the Caribbean, central and southern Europe and central parts of Asia are likely to be drier than normal. This is also true for southern Vietnam and parts of the Philippines. Meanwhile, wetter than normal conditions are more probable across much of Indonesia, Malaysia

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in December, normal elsewhere ^^Note: Very Wet in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: December to September Current Status 10 Current Status – Central Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall December

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less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: August to May Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall August September October August September October Mauritania Warm Warm Normal ^ Wet Very Wet

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of rainfall over the tropical Pacific Ocean, that La Niña is associated with, leads to increases in rainfall across the tropical land areas. Over the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, southern and western Africa as well as northern South America are likely to be wetter than

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were wet. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: August to May Current Status 12 Current Status – Eastern Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall August September October August September October

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/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts For the next three months, wetter than normal conditions are likely across much of south and southeast Asia, as well as Australia. Wetter than normal conditions are also likely for parts of southeast Africa, as well as central

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