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, as accurately as possible. UK Observations The UK State of the Climate report states that there are no compelling trends in storminess when considering maximum gust speeds over the last four decades. More comprehensive studies across the North Atlantic region have reached similar conclusions. Trends

) in Eastern Africa. GHACOF aims to provide seasonal climate information to different stakeholders/sectors over the region for informed decision-making processes. The forum brings together national, regional and international climate experts as well as decision makers and information users on an operational

categories). The above figure shows, for illustration, a typical ROC curve. This is a realistic example, but not drawn from any current predictions system. The example illustrates verification of a set of forecasts (here, forecasts over a 16-year period), over a region (here, North America). The sample

by upland including the Sperrin Mountains in the north-west, the Antrim Plateau to the north-east and the Mourne Mountains in the south. There are extensive areas over 200 metres, with the highest point being Slieve Donard (852 metres) in the Mourne Mountains. The climate of Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern England, and Wales, particularly over higher ground. Following the rain, sunny intervals will develop in parts of Northern Ireland, Wales, the Midlands, and southern Scotland, though these will be accompanied by scattered heavy showers. Some of these may turn

We can all expect to see spells of wet and windy weather over the next few days as deep low pressure systems move towards the UK from the Atlantic.

A strong jet stream is developing and driving low pressure systems towards the UK . These will bring strong to gale force winds, with possible stormy conditions combined with periods of heavy rain from today (Thursday). At the moment, there remains some uncertainty over the locations that will see

to Wales and south-west England had well over double their usual May rainfall, making it provisionally the UK’s fourth wettest May in a series from 1862, with 171% of average. Sunshine was rather below average for most areas except Northern Ireland, with 86% of average for the UK overall. The UK

over a large area. The warning states that “very localised torrential downpours may lead to flooding.” By monitoring the radar, you can see whether any of these downpours are developing in your area, in particular overpopulated areas that may be susceptible to surface water flooding. Animating

. For example, a warning for heavy rain may be in place over a large area. The warning states that “very localised torrential downpours may lead to flooding.” By monitoring the radar, you can see whether any of these downpours are developing in your area, in particular overpopulated areas that may

The latest decadal forecast covering the period from 2014 to 2018 has been released by the Met Office Hadley Centre. These experimental decadal forecasts are specifically designed to forecast fluctuations in the climate system over the next few years through knowledge of the current climate state