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), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal

three months and especially prior to the dry season many parts of the Middle East recorded below normal rainfall. During the same period the Caribbean and British Overseas Territories have seen near-normal or below normal rainfall. Outlook: For much of the Middle East and North Africa the next three

, northern Asia and South-East North America, and lower than normal in North Africa, North-East Canada and southern Greenland. The patterns for precipitation (rainfall, snowfall) are more localised, with an increased chance of higher rainfall in northwest Europe and lower rainfall in southern Europe

areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia, mainly India, owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Below Normal Near

El Niño fully develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian

develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian Ocean Dipole

northward shift of rains will see the onset of the South Asian Monsoon (SAM). Wetter than normal conditions for much of the Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka, as well as parts of southeast Asia are likely over the next three months. This may reflect either an early onset of the SAM, or a more intense

: Wet in the south, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Current Status 12 Current Status – Eastern Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall January February March

, and wetter than normal conditions in parts of East Africa, southern Europe, southern USA, and parts of South America and East Asia. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-todecadal/gpc-outlooks/el-nino-la-nina/enso-impacts Below Normal